Ramy Bensebaini

31 yrs · Centre-back (also LB) · Algeria
Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga · Foot: left · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.3M – €5.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.5M – €41.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.1M – €3.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€550k – €39.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €5.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.5M – €41.9M
Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €3.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ramy Bensebaini's performance-implied value at EUR 6.5M-41.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-5.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 34

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite96.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable31.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €3.1M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-56% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1528 (50% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.41
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1656
Opponent strength
1494
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.1M – €3.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; role change LB -> CB; relative output up 91% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -72% to -53%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1528 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Borussia DortmundBundesligaCB21152850%520.410.15149416560.94
2024/25Borussia DortmundBundesligaLB31202366%160.310.15147816800.94
2023/24Borussia DortmundBundesligaLB17103034%000.000.04147517161.01
2022/23Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaLB28248781%610.250.20151014991.04
2021/22Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaCB23199965%420.270.18150415351.05
2020/21Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaLB25181159%400.200.14155615811.06
2019/20Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaLB19144947%540.560.28154016041.06
2018/19Stade Rennais FCLigue 1LB25215563%110.080.11145214880.82
2017/18Stade Rennais FCLigue 1LB29234469%010.040.07145915020.85
2016/17Stade Rennais FCLigue 1CB25183754%000.000.02142014380.88
2015/16Montpellier HSCLigue 1LB22134639%200.130.15144014310.78
2014/15Lierse SK (- 2018)Jupiler Pro LeagueCB20164761%000.000.02131611870.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund9774201601
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsAlgeria439000—
2025/26World CupAlgeria327000—
2025/26Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund29401—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund12743211667
2024/25Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund112000—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund5372001684
2023/24Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund314701—
2022/23Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach28310—
2021/22Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach19020—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach5448201774
2020/21Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach325310—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueBorussia Mönchengladbach6290011468
2019/20Dfb PokalBorussia Mönchengladbach13000—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueStade Rennais FC9690101543

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Danilo D'Ambrosio
Serie A · 2020
32€10.5M€3.0Mfell
Thomas Meunier
Bundesliga · 2022
31€6.5M€2.5Mfell
Felipe
Laliga · 2022
33€6.0M€1.5Mfell
Marcos Acuña
Laliga · 2023
32€10.0M€2.0Mfell
Adil Rami
Serie A · 2014
29€8.0M€7.0Mflat
Ricardo Costa
Laliga · 2013
32€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Christophe Jallet
Ligue 1 · 2013
30€6.5M€3.0Mfell
Vieirinha
Bundesliga · 2016
30€7.0M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023MönchengladbachDortmundFree / loan€20.0M
14 Aug 2019Stade RennaisMönchengladbach€8.0M€8.0M
5 Jul 2016Paradou ACStade Rennais€2.0M€2.0M
30 Jun 2016MontpellierParadou ACFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2015Paradou ACMontpellierFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2015Lierse SKParadou ACFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2014Paradou ACLierse SKFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Paradou U21Paradou ACUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.