
Ramy Bensebaini
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ramy Bensebaini's performance-implied value at EUR 6.5M-41.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-5.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 34
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 96.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -56% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1528 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 96 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1656
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; role change LB -> CB; relative output up 91% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -72% to -53%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1528 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | CB | 21 | 1528 | 50% | 5 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 1494 | 1656 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LB | 31 | 2023 | 66% | 1 | 6 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 1478 | 1680 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LB | 17 | 1030 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1475 | 1716 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | LB | 28 | 2487 | 81% | 6 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 1510 | 1499 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | CB | 23 | 1999 | 65% | 4 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 1504 | 1535 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | LB | 25 | 1811 | 59% | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 1556 | 1581 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | LB | 19 | 1449 | 47% | 5 | 4 | 0.56 | 0.28 | 1540 | 1604 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 25 | 2155 | 63% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1452 | 1488 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 29 | 2344 | 69% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1459 | 1502 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 25 | 1837 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1420 | 1438 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Montpellier HSC | Ligue 1 | LB | 22 | 1346 | 39% | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1440 | 1431 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | Lierse SK (- 2018) | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 20 | 1647 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1316 | 1187 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 774 | 2 | 0 | 1601 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Algeria | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Algeria | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 94 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 743 | 2 | 1 | 1667 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 372 | 0 | 0 | 1684 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 147 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 83 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 90 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 448 | 2 | 0 | 1774 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 253 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 290 | 0 | 1 | 1468 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 9 | 690 | 1 | 0 | 1543 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo D'Ambrosio Serie A · 2020 | 32 | €10.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Thomas Meunier Bundesliga · 2022 | 31 | €6.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Felipe Laliga · 2022 | 33 | €6.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Marcos Acuña Laliga · 2023 | 32 | €10.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Adil Rami Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Ricardo Costa Laliga · 2013 | 32 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Christophe Jallet Ligue 1 · 2013 | 30 | €6.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Vieirinha Bundesliga · 2016 | 30 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Mönchengladbach | Dortmund | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 14 Aug 2019 | Stade Rennais | Mönchengladbach | €8.0M | €8.0M |
| 5 Jul 2016 | Paradou AC | Stade Rennais | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Montpellier | Paradou AC | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Paradou AC | Montpellier | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Lierse SK | Paradou AC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Paradou AC | Lierse SK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Paradou U21 | Paradou AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.