Dylan Batubinsika
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dylan Batubinsika's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 29.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €311k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 720 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1298
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €232k – €498k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 35 pts; changed club; team strength down (-178 Elo); league level down (-186 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -58% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 720 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | CB | 8 | 720 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1298 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | CB | 25 | 2017 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1469 | 1307 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | FC Famalicão | Liga Portugal | CB | 2 | 180 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1406 | 1362 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | FC Famalicão | Liga Portugal | CB | 20 | 1501 | 49% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1334 | 1365 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1790 | 58% | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 1363 | 1436 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 4 | 360 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1319 | 1437 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 10 | 680 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1351 | 1385 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 2007 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1358 | 1357 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Maccabi Haifa | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Royal Antwerp FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1596 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 4 | 395 | 1 | 0 | 1501 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Llorente Super League 1 · 2016 | 30 | €300k | €250k | flat |
| Stephen O'Donnell Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €450k | €100k | fell |
| Manolis Tzanakakis Super League 1 · 2020 | 28 | €475k | €300k | fell |
| Ángel Martínez Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Nikolaos Marinakis Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €350k | €175k | fell |
| Stelios Marangos Super League 1 · 2017 | 28 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Lamine Gassama Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Georgios Saramantas Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Saint-Étienne | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €700k |
| 21 Jul 2023 | Famalicão | Saint-Étienne | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Maccabi Haifa | Famalicão | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Famalicão | Maccabi Haifa | Free / loan | €700k |
| 23 Jul 2021 | Royal Antwerp | Famalicão | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 13 Jul 2017 | Paris SG B | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Paris SG U19 | Paris SG B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.