Jean Butez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jean Butez's performance-implied value at EUR 4.8M-21.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-9.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-5.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 87.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €6.8M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3420 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 88 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1501
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €5.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 51 pts; team strength up (+128 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -52% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Como 1907 | Serie A | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1501 | 1589 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | GK | 19 | 1665 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1516 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1375 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1299 | 1497 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1341 | 1402 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 18 | 1620 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1352 | 1436 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 16 | 1440 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1354 | 1321 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 24 | 2160 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1365 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 8 | 712 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1401 | 1207 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Como 1907 | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1635 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1435 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1302 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1339 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Royal Antwerp FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1492 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1439 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Royal Antwerp FC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1557 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Trapp Bundesliga · 2021 | 31 | €6.5M | €8.5M | rose |
| Salvatore Sirigu Serie A · 2018 | 31 | €6.0M | €6.5M | flat |
| Ciprian Tatarusanu Serie A · 2016 | 30 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Federico Marchetti Serie A · 2015 | 32 | €7.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Kasper Schmeichel Premier League · 2016 | 30 | €5.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Fraser Forster Premier League · 2017 | 29 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Guilherme Premier Liga · 2016 | 31 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Etrit Berisha Serie A · 2018 | 29 | €7.0M | €2.4M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | Royal Antwerp | Como | €2.1M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Mouscron | Royal Antwerp | €1.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Lille | Mouscron | €200k | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Mouscron | Lille | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Lille | Mouscron | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | LOSC Lille B | Lille | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | LOSC Lille U19 | LOSC Lille B | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | LOSC Lille Yth. | LOSC Lille U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.