Nicklas Røjkjær
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nicklas Røjkjær's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1954 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 13.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1954 (99% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1315
- Opponent strength
- 1260
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €876k – €2.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -57% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 22 | 1954 | 99% | 2 | 4 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 1260 | 1314 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | CM | 10 | 198 | 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 1232 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2019/20 | Esbjerg fB | Superliga | CM | 6 | 234 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1197 | 1137 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 390 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Esbjerg fB | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1402 |
| 2016/17 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 71 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Olsen Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Eredivisie · 2017 | 29 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Joris Kayembe Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Aytaç Kara Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.4M | €1.0M | fell |
| Graeme Shinnie Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 28 | €850k | €1.8M | rose |
| Sébastien Siani Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Iver Fossum Superliga · 2022 | 26 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Casper De Norre Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.8M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | Mjällby AIF | Nordsjaelland | €1.6M | €1.5M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | FC Fredericia | Mjällby AIF | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Silkeborg IF | FC Fredericia | Unknown | €250k |
| 4 Oct 2020 | Esbjerg fB | Silkeborg IF | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Viborg FF | Esbjerg fB | Unknown | €300k |
| 27 Jan 2018 | Copenhagen U19 | Viborg FF | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Silkeborg U19 | Copenhagen U19 | €161k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Silkeborg Yth. | Silkeborg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.