Marco Asensio

The model rates Marco Asensio's performance-implied value at EUR 7.6M-20.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.9M-13.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-9.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.28x the positional average in the league (1879 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1879 (61% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

1.15

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.52

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1477

Opponent strength

1251

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€3.8M – €9.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; changed club; team strength down (-271 Elo); league level down (-265 Elo); relative output up 62% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -65% to -36%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

35 (MID)

Relative output kept

77%–144%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

69%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.