Eray Cömert

28 yrs · Centre-back · Switzerland
Valencia CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€839k – €3.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.7M – €6.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.1M – €3.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.8M – €5.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€839k – €3.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €6.3M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Eray Cömert's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-6.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 56

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average62.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.9M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationLow-20% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1339 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.20
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1497
Opponent strength
1492
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.1M – €3.1M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+280 Elo); relative output up 405% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +7% (IQR -32% to +81%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1339 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Valencia CFLaligaCB17133939%210.200.18149214960.95
2024/25Real Valladolid CFLaligaCB25178352%000.000.03152812160.95
2023/24FC NantesLigue 1CB25199865%200.090.11149513090.87
2022/23Valencia CFLaligaCB23167549%100.050.07154614440.98
2021/22Valencia CFLaligaCB834310%000.000.06151914871.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyValencia CF439000—
2024/25Copa Del ReyReal Valladolid CF317800—
2022/23SupercopaValencia CF1120001823
2022/23Copa Del ReyValencia CF19000—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Basel 18934378001395
2021/22Copa Del ReyValencia CF16800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Lorenzo De Silvestri
Serie A · 2017
29€3.5M€4.0Mflat
Pablo
Ligue 1 · 2018
27€3.0M€8.0Mrose
Stefan Bell
Bundesliga · 2021
30€2.0M€2.0Mflat
David Abraham
Bundesliga · 2015
29€2.0M€4.0Mrose
Pavel Kaderabek
Bundesliga · 2022
30€5.0M€3.0Mfell
Juan Cala
Laliga · 2018
29€1.7M€1.2Mfell
Coke
Laliga · 2013
26€2.0M€3.5Mrose
Loïck Landre
Ligue 1 · 2019
27€3.5M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2025Real ValladolidValenciaFree / loan€2.0M
10 Jul 2024ValenciaReal ValladolidFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2024FC NantesValenciaFree / loan€4.0M
26 Aug 2023ValenciaFC NantesFree / loan€3.5M
25 Jan 2022BaselValencia€800k€1.8M
30 Jun 2018FC SionBaselFree / loan€900k
6 Jul 2017BaselFC SionFree / loan€250k
30 Jun 2017FC LuganoBaselFree / loan€250k
3 Mar 2017BaselFC LuganoFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2016FC Basel U18BaselUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014FC Basel U16FC Basel U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Eray Cömert · MoneyballAI