
Eray Cömert
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eray Cömert's performance-implied value at EUR 1.7M-6.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 56
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 62.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1339 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1497
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+280 Elo); relative output up 405% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +7% (IQR -32% to +81%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1339 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CB | 17 | 1339 | 39% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 1492 | 1496 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | CB | 25 | 1783 | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1528 | 1216 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CB | 25 | 1998 | 65% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1495 | 1309 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CB | 23 | 1675 | 49% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 1546 | 1444 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CB | 8 | 343 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1519 | 1487 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 3 | 178 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | Valencia CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1823 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Basel 1893 | 4 | 378 | 0 | 0 | 1395 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo De Silvestri Serie A · 2017 | 29 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Pablo Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €3.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Stefan Bell Bundesliga · 2021 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| David Abraham Bundesliga · 2015 | 29 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Pavel Kaderabek Bundesliga · 2022 | 30 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Juan Cala Laliga · 2018 | 29 | €1.7M | €1.2M | fell |
| Coke Laliga · 2013 | 26 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Loïck Landre Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Real Valladolid | Valencia | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 10 Jul 2024 | Valencia | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Nantes | Valencia | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Valencia | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Basel | Valencia | €800k | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | FC Sion | Basel | Free / loan | €900k |
| 6 Jul 2017 | Basel | FC Sion | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Lugano | Basel | Free / loan | €250k |
| 3 Mar 2017 | Basel | FC Lugano | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Basel U18 | Basel | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Basel U16 | FC Basel U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.