Christian Pulisic

28 yrs · Right winger (also AM, LW, SS) · United States
AC Milan · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€40.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€15.7M – €33.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€20.0M – €50.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€12.4M – €31.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€13.8M – €34.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€15.7M – €33.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€20.0M – €50.7M
Projected value (24 months)€12.4M – €31.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Christian Pulisic's performance-implied value at EUR 20.0M-50.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.7M-33.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.4M-31.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1612 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 34

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite94.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €21.0M vs market €40.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €60.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1612 (47% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.67
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.49
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
95 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1570
Opponent strength
1470
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€12.4M – €31.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 26 pts; role change RW -> SS; relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -59% to -20%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1612 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AC MilanSerie ASS30161247%840.670.49147015700.93
2024/25AC MilanSerie ARW34249273%11110.790.58148016250.99
2023/24AC MilanSerie ARW36262177%1290.720.45147516250.98
2022/23Chelsea FCPremier LeagueRW2481324%110.220.24151815791.23
2021/22Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM22128638%620.560.32155717371.17
2020/21Chelsea FCPremier LeagueAM27173751%420.310.29158017351.19
2019/20Chelsea FCPremier LeagueLW25172750%960.780.44154416531.14
2018/19Borussia DortmundBundesligaRW2092630%440.780.37147916831.05
2017/18Borussia DortmundBundesligaRW32231376%460.390.34151215921.04
2016/17Borussia DortmundBundesligaRW29151650%380.650.35150917051.06
2015/16Borussia DortmundBundesligaLW938613%200.470.26148417181.02

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupAC Milan310420—
2025/26Supercoppa ItalianaAC Milan190001647
2025/26World CupUnited States27701—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan9633411624
2024/25Italy CupAC Milan534500—
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaAC Milan2180201759
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan6442101694
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAC Milan6441211604
2023/24Italy CupAC Milan210901—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC5110011660
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC7368211668
2021/22Fa CupChelsea FC426001—
2021/22Uefa Super CupChelsea FC177001689
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC10420221719
2020/21Fa CupChelsea FC629700—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC4266121665
2019/20Fa CupChelsea FC212110—
2019/20Uefa Super CupChelsea FC174011915
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund7455101651
2018/19Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund332022—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund5374001641
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueBorussia Dortmund3172011590
2017/18Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund19000—
2017/18Franz Beckenbauer SupercupBorussia Dortmund190101855
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund10600131622
2016/17Dfb PokalBorussia Dortmund421112—
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueBorussia Dortmund347001645

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Andriy Yarmolenko
Bundesliga · 2018
29€23.0M€9.5Mfell
Memphis Depay
Ligue 1 · 2020
26€44.0M€35.0Mfell
Nico González
Serie A · 2023
25€30.0M€24.0Mfell
Radamel Falcao
Ligue 1 · 2014
28€60.0M€23.0Mfell
Hirving Lozano
Serie A · 2022
27€30.0M€15.0Mfell
Hulk
Premier Liga · 2013
27€45.0M€37.0Mflat
Mattia Zaccagni
Serie A · 2024
29€20.0M€7.5Mfell
Kaoru Mitoma
Premier League · 2024
27€45.0M€22.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
13 Jul 2023ChelseaAC Milan€20.8M€25.0M
30 Jun 2019DortmundChelseaFree / loan€60.0M
3 Jan 2019ChelseaDortmundFree / loan€50.0M
2 Jan 2019DortmundChelsea€64.0M€50.0M
4 Jan 2016B. Dortmund U19DortmundUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015B. Dortmund U17B. Dortmund U19UnknownData unavailable
10 Feb 2015PA ClassicsB. Dortmund U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.