Daniel James
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daniel James's performance-implied value at EUR 4.2M-14.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.5M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-7.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (553 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 67.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.1M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -51% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 553 (16% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1521
- Opponent strength
- 1626
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.9M – €7.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -75% to -44%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Small sample: 553 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Leeds United | Premier League | RW | 19 | 553 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1626 | 1521 | 1.30 |
| 2022/23 | Fulham FC | Premier League | RW | 20 | 608 | 18% | 2 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 1558 | 1495 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | RW | 4 | 199 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 1582 | 1418 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Leeds United | Premier League | ST | 32 | 2371 | 69% | 4 | 5 | 0.34 | 0.45 | 1554 | 1477 | 1.17 |
| 2021/22 | Manchester United | Premier League | RW | 2 | 128 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1544 | 1609 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester United | Premier League | RW | 15 | 912 | 27% | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 1578 | 1741 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester United | Premier League | RW | 33 | 2291 | 67% | 3 | 6 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 1606 | 1720 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 3 | 101 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 7 | 438 | 1 | 1 | 1582 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 2 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1460 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 6 | 296 | 1 | 0 | 1571 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 3 | 190 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Swansea City | 1 | 28 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnaut Danjuma Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €13.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Alireza Jahanbakhsh Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Michy Batshuayi Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Cenk Tosun Premier League · 2020 | 29 | €12.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Wilfried Bony Premier League · 2018 | 30 | €10.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Charlie Austin Premier League · 2019 | 30 | €8.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Matej Vydra Premier League · 2020 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Denis Cheryshev Laliga · 2016 | 26 | €10.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2023 | Fulham | Leeds | Free / loan | €13.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Leeds | Fulham | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Man Utd | Leeds | €29.1M | €18.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Swansea | Man Utd | €17.8M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Swansea U23 | Swansea | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Aug 2017 | Shrewsbury | Swansea U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Swansea U23 | Shrewsbury | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Swansea U18 | Swansea U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Hull U18 | Swansea U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Hull City Yth. | Hull U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.