
Jean-Victor Makengo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jean-Victor Makengo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-7.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-5.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (1815 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 79
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 63.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.7M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1815 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1455
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €5.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -39% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | AM | 31 | 1815 | 59% | 4 | 2 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 1455 | 1420 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | CM | 11 | 478 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1462 | 1335 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | CM | 15 | 1066 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1433 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 16 | 810 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1492 | 1421 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 33 | 2360 | 69% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1469 | 1436 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 17 | 517 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1505 | 1387 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CM | 19 | 987 | 39% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 1413 | 1210 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CM | 25 | 1023 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1419 | 1453 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CM | 5 | 244 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1408 | 1489 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | SM Caen | Ligue 1 | CM | 17 | 875 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1435 | 1334 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | SM Caen | Ligue 1 | CM | 10 | 431 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1479 | 1384 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1372 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Ansaldi Serie A · 2016 | 30 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Benjamin Corgnet Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Mërgim Vojvoda Serie A · 2022 | 27 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Senijad Ibricic Super Lig · 2013 | 28 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Matteo Ricci Serie A · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.2M | fell |
| Dusan Basta Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €6.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Mario Lemina Ligue 1 · 2022 | 29 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Dejan Ljubicic Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2023 | Udinese | FC Lorient | €11.0M | €7.5M |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Nice | Udinese | €3.5M | €3.6M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Toulouse | Nice | Free / loan | €3.6M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Nice | Toulouse | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | SM Caen | Nice | €6.0M | €900k |
| 18 Aug 2015 | SM Caen B | SM Caen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | SM Caen U17 | SM Caen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | SM Caen Jugend | SM Caen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | ESA Linas Jgd | SM Caen Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2010 | SC Malesh. Jgd. | ESA Linas Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2009 | FC Etampes Jgd | SC Malesh. Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.