Jean-Victor Makengo

28 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM) · France
FC Lorient · Ligue 1 · Foot: left · Height: 177 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€6.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.0M – €5.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.5M – €7.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.5M – €5.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.8M – €5.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €7.8M
Projected value (24 months)€2.5M – €5.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jean-Victor Makengo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-7.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-5.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (1815 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 79

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average63.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.7M vs market €6.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-33% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1815 (59% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.36
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
64 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1420
Opponent strength
1455
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.5M – €5.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -39% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC LorientLigue 1AM31181559%420.300.36145514200.88
2023/24FC LorientLigue 1CM1147816%000.000.17146213350.87
2022/23FC LorientLigue 1CM15106631%000.000.12143313960.82
2022/23Udinese CalcioSerie ACM1681024%010.110.18149214210.94
2021/22Udinese CalcioSerie ACM33236069%130.150.17146914360.89
2020/21Udinese CalcioSerie ACM1751715%000.000.15150513870.90
2019/20FC ToulouseLigue 1CM1998739%200.180.26141312100.82
2018/19OGC NiceLigue 1CM25102330%100.090.14141914530.82
2017/18OGC NiceLigue 1CM52447%000.000.17140814890.85
2016/17SM CaenLigue 1CM1787526%000.000.14143513340.88
2015/16SM CaenLigue 1CM1043113%000.000.15147913840.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2022/23Italy CupUdinese Calcio19000—
2021/22Italy CupUdinese Calcio315200—
2020/21Italy CupUdinese Calcio221000—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueOGC Nice2101001372

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Cristian Ansaldi
Serie A · 2016
30€6.0M€5.0Mflat
Benjamin Corgnet
Ligue 1 · 2013
26€5.0M€3.5Mfell
Mërgim Vojvoda
Serie A · 2022
27€5.5M€3.0Mfell
Senijad Ibricic
Super Lig · 2013
28€4.5M€2.0Mfell
Matteo Ricci
Serie A · 2021
27€3.5M€2.2Mfell
Dusan Basta
Serie A · 2014
30€6.0M€4.5Mfell
Mario Lemina
Ligue 1 · 2022
29€9.0M€10.0Mflat
Dejan Ljubicic
Bundesliga · 2024
27€5.0M€5.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jan 2023UdineseFC Lorient€11.0M€7.5M
5 Oct 2020NiceUdinese€3.5M€3.6M
30 Jun 2020ToulouseNiceFree / loan€3.6M
1 Jul 2019NiceToulouseFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2017SM CaenNice€6.0M€900k
18 Aug 2015SM Caen BSM CaenUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015SM Caen U17SM Caen BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013SM Caen JugendSM Caen U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011ESA Linas JgdSM Caen JugendFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2010SC Malesh. Jgd.ESA Linas JgdFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2009FC Etampes JgdSC Malesh. Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.