Dimitrios Limnios
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitrios Limnios's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (2177 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 84
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €482k vs market €1.3M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2177 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1175
- Opponent strength
- 1307
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €442k – €1.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -6% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | RW | 34 | 2177 | 71% | 2 | 8 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 1307 | 1175 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RW | 7 | 73 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 1.23 | 0.41 | 1251 | 1402 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | RW | 7 | 141 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1242 | 1453 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RW | 2 | 37 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1447 | 1476 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 33 | 2189 | 72% | 8 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 1352 | 1435 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | RW | 12 | 369 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1560 | 1400 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RW | 26 | 2058 | 88% | 4 | 6 | 0.44 | 0.30 | 1290 | 1512 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RW | 20 | 1225 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 1291 | 1552 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RW | 21 | 891 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1262 | 1511 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | RW | 25 | 1633 | 60% | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 1283 | 1261 | 0.44 |
| 2015/16 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | RW | 8 | 290 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1241 | 1338 | 0.46 |
| 2014/15 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | RW | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1249 | 1381 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1417 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1522 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 1 | 35 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 3 | 204 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1401 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 325 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1398 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1750 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 530 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 446 | 1 | 1 | 1596 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 220 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 9 | 729 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1425 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 7 | 492 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | APS Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1392 |
| 2014/15 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaj Sierhuis Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Pedro Henrique Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €1.2M | €2.0M | rose |
| Giovanni Sio Super Lig · 2020 | 31 | €1.4M | €300k | fell |
| Olarenwaju Kayode Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €2.4M | €3.2M | rose |
| Levan Shengelia Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Faïz Selemani Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 28 | €1.4M | €2.5M | rose |
| Nicklas Helenius Superliga · 2017 | 26 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Dalibor Veselinovic Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 27 | €900k | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Fortuna Sittard | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 16 Jul 2025 | Panathinaikos | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 1.FC Köln | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | FC Twente | 1.FC Köln | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 6 Aug 2021 | 1.FC Köln | FC Twente | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 21 Sept 2020 | PAOK | 1.FC Köln | €3.3M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Atromitos | PAOK | €1.2M | €800k |
| 19 Aug 2014 | Atromitos U20 | Atromitos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Niki Volou U20 | Atromitos U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.