Tammy Abraham

The model rates Tammy Abraham's performance-implied value at EUR 3.9M-18.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.8M-21.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.7M-12.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1532 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1532 (45% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.59

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.47

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1417

Opponent strength

1258

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€4.7M – €12.7M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-208 Elo); league level down (-172 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -41% (IQR -50% to -13%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1532 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

53 (ATT)

Relative output kept

79%–133%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

58%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.