François Kamano

30 yrs · Left winger (also RM, RW, ST) · Guinea
FK Sochi · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.2M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€343k – €1.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€330k – €1.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€354k – €1.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.0M – €732k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€343k – €1.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€330k – €1.1M
Projected value (24 months)€354k – €1.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates François Kamano's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (642 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average19.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €691k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-43% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
642 (24% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.42
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.61
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
19 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1197
Opponent strength
1312
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€354k – €1.0M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 642 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK SochiPremier LigaST1564224%210.420.61131211970.56
2022/23Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaRW28184268%340.340.36131213990.53
2021/22Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaLW16108340%210.250.28133513440.52
2020/21Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaLW25137851%510.390.34133914570.55
2019/20FC Girondins BordeauxLigue 1RM1164726%100.140.20141314360.82
2018/19FC Girondins BordeauxLigue 1LW37257175%1010.390.41146014080.82
2017/18FC Girondins BordeauxLigue 1LW35202259%850.580.50146914990.85
2016/17FC Girondins BordeauxLigue 1LW30168849%640.530.53142715070.88
2015/16SC BastiaLigue 1RW23141041%300.190.31143113950.78
2014/15SC BastiaLigue 1RW24149244%430.420.51143114020.80

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupFK Sochi29000—
2022/23Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва957530—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва4209101494
2021/22Russian Super CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва190001544
2020/21Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва427540—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва4180001822
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Girondins Bordeaux6392221351
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueFC Girondins Bordeaux5238101489
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Girondins Bordeaux2180011428

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jesé
Super Lig · 2023
30€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Tobias Mikkelsen
Superliga · 2016
30€1.0M€250kfell
Davy Claude Angan
Super Lig · 2017
30€500k€100kfell
Aleksey Sutormin
Premier Liga · 2024
30€1.2M€600kfell
Teddy Chevalier
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
30€1.5M€900kfell
Nick Proschwitz
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
30€500k€200kfell
Kristoffer Peterson
Eredivisie · 2024
30€600k€450kfell
Luka Djordjevic
Premier Liga · 2024
30€500k€500kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Sept 2025Damac FCFK SochiFree / loan€2.5M
22 Aug 2024AbhaDamac FCUnknown€3.2M
3 Aug 2023Loko MoscowAbhaFree / loan€4.0M
17 Aug 2020G. BordeauxLoko Moscow€5.5M€8.0M
27 Jul 2016SC BastiaG. Bordeaux€2.5M€2.5M
1 Jul 2014SC Bastia BSC BastiaUnknownData unavailable
30 Jan 2014Satellite FCSC Bastia BFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.