
François Kamano
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates François Kamano's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (642 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 19.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €691k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 642 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.42
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1197
- Opponent strength
- 1312
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €354k – €1.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -64% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 642 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Sochi | Premier Liga | ST | 15 | 642 | 24% | 2 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 1312 | 1197 | 0.56 |
| 2022/23 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | RW | 28 | 1842 | 68% | 3 | 4 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 1312 | 1399 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | LW | 16 | 1083 | 40% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 1335 | 1344 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | LW | 25 | 1378 | 51% | 5 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 1339 | 1457 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | RM | 11 | 647 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 1413 | 1436 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | LW | 37 | 2571 | 75% | 10 | 1 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1460 | 1408 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | LW | 35 | 2022 | 59% | 8 | 5 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 1469 | 1499 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | LW | 30 | 1688 | 49% | 6 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1427 | 1507 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | RW | 23 | 1410 | 41% | 3 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 1431 | 1395 | 0.78 |
| 2014/15 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | RW | 24 | 1492 | 44% | 4 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 1431 | 1402 | 0.80 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Sochi | 2 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 9 | 575 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 4 | 209 | 1 | 0 | 1494 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Super Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 4 | 275 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 4 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1822 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 6 | 392 | 2 | 2 | 1351 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 5 | 238 | 1 | 0 | 1489 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1428 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesé Super Lig · 2023 | 30 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Tobias Mikkelsen Superliga · 2016 | 30 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Davy Claude Angan Super Lig · 2017 | 30 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Aleksey Sutormin Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Teddy Chevalier Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 30 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Nick Proschwitz Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 30 | €500k | €200k | fell |
| Kristoffer Peterson Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Luka Djordjevic Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €500k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2025 | Damac FC | FK Sochi | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 22 Aug 2024 | Abha | Damac FC | Unknown | €3.2M |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Loko Moscow | Abha | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 17 Aug 2020 | G. Bordeaux | Loko Moscow | €5.5M | €8.0M |
| 27 Jul 2016 | SC Bastia | G. Bordeaux | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | SC Bastia B | SC Bastia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jan 2014 | Satellite FC | SC Bastia B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.