Ben White
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ben White's performance-implied value at EUR 16.4M-25.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.9M-31.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.8M-16.7M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Elite | 92.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €23.0M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -55% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 704 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1876
- Opponent strength
- 1603
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.8M – €16.7M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+62 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -48% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 704 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | RB | 12 | 704 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1603 | 1876 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | RB | 17 | 1198 | 35% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 1578 | 1813 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | RB | 37 | 2995 | 88% | 4 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 1578 | 1794 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | RB | 38 | 3067 | 90% | 2 | 5 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1550 | 1726 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Arsenal FC | Premier League | CB | 32 | 2880 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1547 | 1667 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | CB | 36 | 3196 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1569 | 1492 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 11 | 625 | 0 | 1 | 1599 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 3 | 238 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 9 | 333 | 0 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Arsenal FC | 10 | 752 | 0 | 1 | 1661 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Community Shield | Arsenal FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1920 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Arsenal FC | 7 | 394 | 0 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Arsenal FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Peterborough United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Matip Premier League · 2020 | 29 | €32.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Danilo Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Benjamin Mendy Premier League · 2021 | 27 | €20.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Nathan Aké Premier League · 2022 | 27 | €25.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Danny Rose Premier League · 2018 | 28 | €30.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Dejan Lovren Premier League · 2020 | 31 | €16.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Jérôme Boateng Bundesliga · 2017 | 29 | €38.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| John Stones Premier League · 2022 | 28 | €28.0M | €38.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2021 | Brighton | Arsenal | €58.5M | €28.0M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Leeds | Brighton | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Brighton | Leeds | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2019 | Peterborough | Brighton | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jan 2019 | Brighton | Peterborough | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Brighton U23 | Brighton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2018 | Newport County | Brighton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Brighton U23 | Newport County | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Brighton U18 | Brighton U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Southampton Aca | Brighton U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.