Celil Yüksel
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Celil Yüksel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (1154 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €255k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1154 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1310
- Opponent strength
- 1221
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €425k – €711k
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 35% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -22% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1154 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | DM | 20 | 1154 | 38% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1221 | 1310 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | DM | 20 | 1008 | 31% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1258 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2018/19 | Galatasaray | Super Lig | DM | 2 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1351 | 1511 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Samsunspor | 2 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1397 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Fernández Super League 1 · 2016 | 30 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Petar Djurickovic Super League 1 · 2018 | 27 | €700k | €475k | fell |
| Diego Buonanotte Super League 1 · 2016 | 28 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Isaac Cofie Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €650k | €700k | flat |
| Ramazan Civelek Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €850k | €850k | flat |
| Murray Davidson Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €450k | flat |
| Andriy Tsurikov Premier Liga · 2021 | 29 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Maksym Lunyov Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €700k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Göztepe | Samsunspor | Free / loan | €700k |
| 27 Jul 2023 | Samsunspor | Göztepe | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Adanaspor | Samsunspor | Unknown | €650k |
| 14 Sept 2020 | Galatasaray U19 | Adanaspor | €102k | €75k |
| 3 Aug 2020 | Adanaspor | Galatasaray U19 | Free / loan | €75k |
| 6 Jan 2020 | Galatasaray U19 | Adanaspor | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Galatasaray U21 | Galatasaray U19 | Unknown | €100k |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Galatasaray | Galatasaray U21 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Galatasaray U21 | Galatasaray | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Galatasaray U17 | Galatasaray U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Galatasaray U16 | Galatasaray U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Galatasaray Yth | Galatasaray U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.