Shamal George

28 yrs · Goalkeeper · England
St. Mirren FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 198 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€300k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€74k – €322k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€273k – €742k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€217k – €374k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€49k – €668k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€74k – €322k
Model value (performance-implied)€273k – €742k
Projected value (24 months)€217k – €374k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Shamal George's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 91

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average12.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €184k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationNeutral+0% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €325k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2888 (97% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.03
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.02
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
13 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1102
Opponent strength
1217
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€217k – €374k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -6% to +13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
38 (all positions)
Relative output kept
78%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
74%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26St. Mirren FCScottish PremiershipGK33288897%010.030.02121711020.31
2023/24Livingston FCScottish PremiershipGK27239781%000.000.00126110410.34
2022/23Livingston FCScottish PremiershipGK28252085%000.000.00129211860.40

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Scottish Fa CupSt. Mirren FC333001—
2023/24Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC19000—
2022/23Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Lefteris Choutesiotis
Super League 1 · 2023
29€400k€400kflat
Dimitar Mitov
Scottish Premiership · 2024
27€500k€800krose
Remi Matthews
Scottish Premiership · 2023
29€350k€400kflat
Liam Kelly
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€800k€800kflat
Adrian Chovan
Super League 1 · 2024
29€350k€200kfell
Gary Woods
Scottish Premiership · 2019
29€300k€300kflat
Lawrence Thomas
Superliga · 2022
30€400k€450kflat
Craig Samson
Scottish Premiership · 2015
31€450k€350kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026WycombeWithout ClubUnknown€300k
30 Jun 2026St. MirrenWycombeFree / loan€300k
24 Jul 2025WycombeSt. MirrenFree / loan€250k
30 Aug 2024Livingston FCWycombeUnknown€300k
23 Jul 2022Colchester Utd.Livingston FCUnknownData unavailable
28 Aug 2020Liverpool U23Colchester Utd.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2020Marine FCLiverpool U23Free / loanData unavailable
2 Sept 2019Liverpool U23Marine FCFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2019TranmereLiverpool U23Free / loanData unavailable
24 Jul 2018Liverpool U23TranmereFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2018Carlisle UnitedLiverpool U23Free / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2017Liverpool U23Carlisle UnitedFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Liverpool U18Liverpool U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Liverpool YouthLiverpool U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Shamal George · MoneyballAI