
Shamal George
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Shamal George's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 12.7th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €184k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2888 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 13 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1102
- Opponent strength
- 1217
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €217k – €374k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -6% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | St. Mirren FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 33 | 2888 | 97% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1217 | 1102 | 0.31 |
| 2023/24 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 27 | 2397 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1261 | 1041 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 28 | 2520 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1292 | 1186 | 0.40 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Mirren FC | 3 | 330 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lefteris Choutesiotis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Dimitar Mitov Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Remi Matthews Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 29 | €350k | €400k | flat |
| Liam Kelly Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Adrian Chovan Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Gary Woods Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 29 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Lawrence Thomas Superliga · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €450k | flat |
| Craig Samson Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 31 | €450k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Wycombe | Without Club | Unknown | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2026 | St. Mirren | Wycombe | Free / loan | €300k |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Wycombe | St. Mirren | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Livingston FC | Wycombe | Unknown | €300k |
| 23 Jul 2022 | Colchester Utd. | Livingston FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 28 Aug 2020 | Liverpool U23 | Colchester Utd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Marine FC | Liverpool U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Liverpool U23 | Marine FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Tranmere | Liverpool U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 24 Jul 2018 | Liverpool U23 | Tranmere | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Carlisle United | Liverpool U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Liverpool U23 | Carlisle United | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Liverpool U18 | Liverpool U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Liverpool Youth | Liverpool U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.