
Dimitar Mitov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitar Mitov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €263k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2610 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1119
- Opponent strength
- 1222
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €285k – €734k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; team strength down (-67 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -45% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 29 | 2610 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1222 | 1119 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Aberdeen FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 19 | 1665 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1217 | 1186 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | St. Johnstone FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 33 | 2970 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1260 | 1105 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1373 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Aberdeen FC | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Johnstone FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gianniotis Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €600k | €375k | fell |
| Yevgen Volynets Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Kristoffer Nordfeldt Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €900k | €400k | fell |
| Christopher Knett Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Oleg Mozil Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Ross Laidlaw Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Erce Kardeşler Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €425k | €425k | flat |
| Lefteris Choutesiotis Super League 1 · 2022 | 28 | €450k | €400k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | St. Johnstone | Aberdeen FC | Unknown | €500k |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Cambridge Utd. | St. Johnstone | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Charlton | Cambridge Utd. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Charlton U18 | Charlton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 28 Mar 2015 | Canvey Island | Charlton U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 27 Feb 2015 | Charlton U18 | Canvey Island | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Etropole U19 | Charlton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.