Senne Lynen

27 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Belgium
SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€8.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€3.4M – €10.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.1M – €11.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.4M – €8.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.0M – €8.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €10.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €11.9M
Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €8.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Senne Lynen's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-11.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.4M-10.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.4M-8.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.46x the positional average in the league (2757 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 20

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average73.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €6.9M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2757 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.03
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1378
Opponent strength
1500
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.4M – €8.7M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-104 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -38% to +27%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SV Werder BremenBundesligaDM31275790%010.030.06150013780.94
2024/25SV Werder BremenBundesligaDM32274890%010.030.06150014830.94
2023/24SV Werder BremenBundesligaDM32179359%030.150.16153714591.01
2023/24Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueCM21807%000.000.13140215890.63
2022/23Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueCM32267587%160.240.14131215710.58
2021/22Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueDM1050717%130.710.30136914990.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen19000—
2024/25Dfb PokalSV Werder Bremen436000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise10890101584
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise2177001611

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Walace
Serie A · 2023
28€7.0M€4.5Mfell
Ylber Ramadani
Serie A · 2024
28€4.0M€1.8Mfell
Maximilian Eggestein
Bundesliga · 2024
28€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Benjamin André
Ligue 1 · 2017
27€4.0M€10.0Mrose
Tomás Pina
Laliga · 2013
26€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Thomas Monconduit
Ligue 1 · 2019
28€3.5M€2.0Mfell
Gary Medel
Premier League · 2014
27€11.0M€12.0Mflat
Mikel Rico
Laliga · 2013
29€4.0M€8.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Aug 2023Union SGWerder Bremen€2.5M€4.0M
1 Jul 2020TelstarUnion SGFree / loan€325k
1 Jul 2018FC Brügge U21TelstarFree / loan€75k
30 Jun 2018TelstarFC Brügge U21Free / loan€75k
29 Jan 2018FC Brügge U21TelstarFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Club Brugge YthFC Brügge U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Lierse SK Yth.Club Brugge YthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Westerlo Yth.Lierse SK Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Antwerp Yth.Westerlo Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Senne Lynen · MoneyballAI