Noussair Mazraoui

The model rates Noussair Mazraoui's performance-implied value at EUR 15.8M-22.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.1M-18.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.2M-10.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

984 (29% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.07

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

90 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1715

Opponent strength

1582

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€5.2M – €10.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 55 pts; team strength up (+112 Elo); role change CB -> RB; relative output down 47% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -61% (IQR -75% to -51%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 984 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.