Philippe Sandler
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Philippe Sandler's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1873 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1362
- Opponent strength
- 1275
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €724k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 297% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -41% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 25 | 1873 | 61% | 1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 1275 | 1362 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 19 | 1417 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1298 | 1320 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 24 | 1881 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1352 | 1336 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | CB | 21 | 1640 | 54% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1360 | 1266 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | ESTAC Troyes | Ligue 1 | CB | 2 | 70 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1558 | 1332 | 0.86 |
| 2021/22 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 2 | 52 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1313 | 1609 | 0.60 |
| 2019/20 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 9 | 772 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1409 | 1443 | 0.63 |
| 2017/18 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CB | 23 | 2014 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1331 | 1268 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CB | 7 | 344 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1458 | 1260 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 250 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 53 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 377 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 64 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 205 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serdar Aziz Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Guillermo Varela Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €2.5M | €1.7M | fell |
| Khalifa Sankaré Super League 1 · 2015 | 31 | €1.3M | €300k | fell |
| Kenneth Omeruo Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Mortadha Ben Ouanes Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Léo Dubois Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €3.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Florent Hadergjonaj Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Sigurd Rosted Superliga · 2022 | 28 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2022 | Feyenoord | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Man City | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Troyes | Man City | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Man City | Troyes | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | RSC Anderlecht | Man City | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 17 Jul 2019 | Man City | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Jul 2018 | PEC Zwolle | Man City | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax U18 | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | AFC Youth | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.