Adrián Dela
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adrián Dela's performance-implied value at EUR 2.5M-5.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 63.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2710 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -35% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | CB | 33 | 2710 | 79% | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1494 | 1420 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Villarreal CF | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1419 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Operi Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Russell Martin Premier League · 2013 | 27 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Jean Beausejour Premier League · 2013 | 29 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Srdjan Babic Laliga · 2023 | 27 | €3.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Sébastien Bassong Premier League · 2013 | 27 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Pedro Bigas Laliga · 2017 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Sergey Parshivlyuk Premier Liga · 2014 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Kenny Lala Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €5.0M | €9.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Villarreal CF B | Levante | Free / loan | €800k |
| 12 Sept 2020 | RM Castilla | Villarreal CF B | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Real Madrid U18 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Real Madrid U17 | Real Madrid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | R.Madrid Yth. | Real Madrid U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Unión Collado | R.Madrid Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.