
Christopher Lungoyi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christopher Lungoyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1801 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €579k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1801 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1167
- Opponent strength
- 1241
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €560k – €1.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -14% to +12%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | LW | 29 | 1801 | 59% | 3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 1241 | 1167 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | LW | 29 | 1854 | 57% | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1301 | 1198 | 0.39 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Vente Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €2.5M | rose |
| Maximiliano Lovera Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Kostas Pileas Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €600k | €550k | flat |
| Xesc Regis Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Valon Ethemi Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Lenny Nangis Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Bruce Anderson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Sito Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €450k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sept 2024 | Juve Next Gen | Gaziantep FK | €100k | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Yverdon Sport | Juve Next Gen | Free / loan | €600k |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Juve Next Gen | Yverdon Sport | Free / loan | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Ascoli | Juve Next Gen | Free / loan | €750k |
| 6 Jul 2022 | Juve Next Gen | Ascoli | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | FC St. Gallen | Juventus U23 | Free / loan | €600k |
| 14 Jan 2022 | Juventus U23 | FC St. Gallen | Free / loan | €600k |
| 13 Jan 2022 | FC Lugano | Juventus U23 | Free / loan | €600k |
| 22 Jan 2021 | Juventus U23 | FC Lugano | Free / loan | €200k |
| 21 Jan 2021 | FC Lugano | Juventus U23 | €3.4M | €200k |
| 27 Jan 2020 | FC Porto B | FC Lugano | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Porto U19 | FC Porto B | Unknown | €50k |
| 24 Jan 2018 | Servette FC | FC Porto U19 | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Servette U21 | Servette FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Servette U18 | Servette U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 3 Aug 2011 | FC Plan-les-O. | Servette U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.