Amir Murillo

The model rates Amir Murillo's performance-implied value at EUR 2.6M-6.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-6.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1945 (64% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.28

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.19

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.88 (rank 5)

Team strength (Elo)

1428

Opponent strength

1434

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.6M – €4.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; team strength down (-129 Elo); league level down (-98 Elo); role change CB -> RB.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -67% to -42%).

• ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.