Jorge Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorge Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.3M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 29.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 450 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 8)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1215
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €705k – €2.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -26% (IQR -47% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 450 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | RB | 6 | 450 | 19% | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 1215 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | RB | 14 | 557 | 18% | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 1314 | 1628 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 17 | 1109 | 36% | 2 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.16 | 1401 | 1593 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Mexico | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1538 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 6 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 1600 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 316 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 269 | 0 | 0 | 1723 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ricca Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Tomasz Kędziora Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Charlie Mulgrew Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 30 | €2.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Roderick Miranda Super League 1 · 2019 | 28 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
| Djibril Sidibé Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mert Çetin Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Sölvi Ottesen Superliga · 2013 | 29 | €1.0M | €650k | fell |
| Nuno Reis Super League 1 · 2017 | 26 | €800k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | CD Cruz Azul | PAOK | €2.5M | €2.2M |
| 4 Jul 2024 | Ajax | CD Cruz Azul | €3.0M | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Porto | Ajax | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 29 Aug 2023 | Ajax | Porto | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 10 Aug 2022 | América | Ajax | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Santos Laguna | América | Unknown | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Santos U20 | Santos Laguna | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Santos U17 | Santos U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Santos Jgd. | Santos U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.