Shawn Adewoye
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Shawn Adewoye's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €573k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2022 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1175
- Opponent strength
- 1343
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €490k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 64% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -66% to -25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 2022 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1343 | 1175 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | CB | 24 | 1745 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1321 | 1211 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | CB | 29 | 2339 | 76% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1358 | 1193 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2932 | 96% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1352 | 1258 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | CB | 22 | 1718 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1369 | 1260 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | CB | 3 | 123 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1422 | 1178 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | 226 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhan Aksu Super Lig · 2023 | 26 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Daniel Granli Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| David Addy Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 25 | €1.0M | €200k | fell |
| Georgios Mygas Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Josh Meekings Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 26 | €450k | €200k | fell |
| Stuart Findlay Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 26 | €600k | €450k | fell |
| Cédric D'Ulivo Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Amiri Kurdi Super League 1 · 2019 | 28 | €500k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | RKC Waalwijk | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Genk | RKC Waalwijk | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | KRC Genk U21 | Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KRC Genk U17 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.