Cyril Ngonge
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Cyril Ngonge's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-8.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-8.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-8.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (1418 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 62.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.5M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1418 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1413
- Opponent strength
- 1557
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.6M – €8.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -52% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1418 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Torino FC | Serie A | SS | 20 | 992 | 29% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.48 | 1557 | 1419 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | RW | 9 | 426 | 12% | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 1509 | 1399 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | RW | 18 | 202 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1457 | 1660 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | RW | 19 | 1439 | 42% | 6 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 1472 | 1381 | 0.98 |
| 2023/24 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | RW | 13 | 307 | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0.59 | 0.35 | 1479 | 1569 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | SS | 14 | 747 | 22% | 3 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.85 | 1487 | 1357 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RW | 11 | 628 | 21% | 3 | 1 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 1367 | 1146 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RW | 31 | 1686 | 55% | 7 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 1352 | 1270 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | RW | 20 | 1176 | 38% | 5 | 2 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 1372 | 1178 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Torino FC | 3 | 154 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 3 | 146 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1686 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 3 | 148 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Pjaca Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €4.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Álex Sola Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Arbër Zeneli Ligue 1 · 2021 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Munir El Haddadi Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Samu Castillejo Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €600k | fell |
| Oussama Idrissi Laliga · 2022 | 26 | €4.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Nemanja Radonjic Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Mohamed Bayo Ligue 1 · 2024 | 26 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Espanyol | Napoli | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Napoli | Espanyol | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Torino | Napoli | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Napoli | Torino | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Hellas Verona | Napoli | €20.0M | €6.0M |
| 19 Jan 2023 | FC Groningen | Hellas Verona | €550k | €1.3M |
| 2 Jul 2021 | RKC Waalwijk | FC Groningen | €200k | €700k |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Club Brugge | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €725k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | PSV U21 | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €725k |
| 1 Sept 2019 | Club Brugge | PSV U21 | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Brügge U21 | Club Brugge | Unknown | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Club Bruges U19 | FC Brügge U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Club Brugge Yth | Club Bruges U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Anderlecht Yth. | Club Brugge Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.