Chidozie Awaziem
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Chidozie Awaziem's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-3.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2232 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1304
- Opponent strength
- 1468
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €975k – €2.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -45% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CB | 26 | 2232 | 73% | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1468 | 1304 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Boavista FC | Liga Portugal | CB | 24 | 1951 | 64% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1392 | 1230 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Alanyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 18 | 1525 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1252 | 1322 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Boavista FC | Liga Portugal | CB | 3 | 270 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 1318 | 1357 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | Boavista FC | Liga Portugal | CB | 27 | 2253 | 74% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1323 | 1308 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | CD Leganés | Laliga | CB | 26 | 1993 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1534 | 1482 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | CB | 16 | 1359 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1402 | 1324 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CB | 22 | 1509 | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1481 | 1413 | 0.85 |
| 2015/16 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | CB | 10 | 854 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1379 | 1515 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Nigeria | 4 | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | CD Leganés | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1476 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Blanchard Serie A · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Ludovic Baal Ligue 1 · 2015 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Bram Nuytinck Serie A · 2018 | 28 | €2.8M | €2.8M | flat |
| Bakaye Dibassy Ligue 1 · 2020 | 31 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Jeremy Toljan Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Giovanni Marchese Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €3.7M | €2.5M | fell |
| Mikkel Desler Ligue 1 · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Boukary Dramé Serie A · 2015 | 30 | €2.2M | €1.7M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | Colorado | FC Nantes | €850k | €2.0M |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Cincinnati | Colorado | €850k | €2.0M |
| 25 Jul 2024 | Boavista | Cincinnati | €500k | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Hajduk Split | Boavista | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 2 Aug 2022 | Boavista | Hajduk Split | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Alanyaspor | Boavista | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 8 Sept 2021 | Boavista | Alanyaspor | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Porto | Boavista | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Boavista | Porto | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 5 Sept 2020 | Porto | Boavista | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 20 Jul 2020 | CD Leganés | Porto | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 15 Aug 2019 | Porto | CD Leganés | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | C. Rizespor | Porto | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 22 Jan 2019 | Porto | C. Rizespor | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Porto B | Porto | Unknown | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | FC Nantes | FC Porto B | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 5 Jul 2017 | FC Porto B | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Aug 2016 | Porto | FC Porto B | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 5 Mar 2016 | FC Porto B | Porto | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Porto U19 | FC Porto B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | El-Kanemi Jgd. | FC Porto U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.