Greg Taylor

28 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Scotland
Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton · Super League 1 · Foot: left · Height: 171 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.2M – €4.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.0M – €3.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.2M – €3.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.1M – €1.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €4.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €3.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Greg Taylor's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 16

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average57.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.5M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-54% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
965 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
58 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1461
Opponent strength
1133
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.2M – €3.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+50 Elo); relative output down 45% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -55% to -37%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 965 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
55%–230%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LB1296541%010.090.08113314610.43
2024/25Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLB24170457%070.370.15122115120.34
2023/24Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLB30254686%350.280.15122215110.34
2022/23Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLB28215873%320.210.09128615880.40
2021/22Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLB19144649%020.120.10131115750.50
2020/21Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLB21159654%060.340.13124415340.54
2019/20Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLM1291734%050.490.15119616080.52
2019/20Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipLB21807%000.000.11128812910.52
2018/19Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipLB31272092%140.170.17129913650.44
2017/18Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipLB33276493%010.030.06130313300.47
2016/17Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipLB34303389%040.120.13130412000.48
2015/16Kilmarnock FCScottish PremiershipLB1903%000.000.12115511550.44

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton317500—
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton283001520
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton12001391
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC8575011584
2024/25Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC329300—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC6540001625
2023/24Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC439000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueCeltic FC6540001682
2022/23Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC436000—
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingCeltic FC4294011429
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingCeltic FC2196001439
2021/22Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC218010—
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingCeltic FC2180111320
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingCeltic FC2180001322
2020/21Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC14500—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC113001631
2019/20Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC324900—
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingKilmarnock FC2180001251
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC2180001451
2018/19Scottish Fa CupKilmarnock FC218000—
2017/18Scottish Fa CupKilmarnock FC330000—
2016/17Scottish Fa CupKilmarnock FC19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Rodrigão
Premier Liga · 2024
29€5.0M€2.5Mfell
Lisandro Magallán
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
29€2.5M€1.8Mfell
Leandro Salino
Super League 1 · 2015
30€2.5M€1.5Mfell
Eduard Sobol
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
27€3.2M€1.5Mfell
Rasmus Lauritsen
Superliga · 2024
28€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Kanu
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
30€2.5M€1.0Mfell
Artem Fedetskyi
Premier Liga · 2015
30€4.5M€750kfell
Tin Jedvaj
Premier Liga · 2023
28€2.5M€2.7Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025CelticPAOKFree / loan€6.0M
2 Sept 2019Kilmarnock FCCelticUnknown€1.3M
1 Jul 2016Kilmarnock FC U20Kilmarnock FCUnknownData unavailable
1 Dec 2014Kilmarnock FC U17Kilmarnock FC U20UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Rangers FC U17Kilmarnock FC U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Greg Taylor · MoneyballAI