
Greg Taylor
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Greg Taylor's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 16
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 965 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1133
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €3.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; league level up (+50 Elo); relative output down 45% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -55% to -37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 965 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LB | 12 | 965 | 41% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1133 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 24 | 1704 | 57% | 0 | 7 | 0.37 | 0.15 | 1221 | 1512 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 30 | 2546 | 86% | 3 | 5 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 1222 | 1511 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 28 | 2158 | 73% | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 1286 | 1588 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 19 | 1446 | 49% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 1311 | 1575 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 21 | 1596 | 54% | 0 | 6 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 1244 | 1534 | 0.54 |
| 2019/20 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LM | 12 | 917 | 34% | 0 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.15 | 1196 | 1608 | 0.52 |
| 2019/20 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1288 | 1291 | 0.52 |
| 2018/19 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 31 | 2720 | 92% | 1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1299 | 1365 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 33 | 2764 | 93% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1303 | 1330 | 0.47 |
| 2016/17 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 34 | 3033 | 89% | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1304 | 1200 | 0.48 |
| 2015/16 | Kilmarnock FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1155 | 1155 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 175 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 8 | 575 | 0 | 1 | 1584 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 3 | 293 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1625 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Celtic FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1682 |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 4 | 294 | 0 | 1 | 1429 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1439 |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | 1320 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1322 |
| 2020/21 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1631 |
| 2019/20 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 3 | 249 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1251 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1451 |
| 2018/19 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Scottish Fa Cup | Kilmarnock FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigão Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Lisandro Magallán Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Leandro Salino Super League 1 · 2015 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Eduard Sobol Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Rasmus Lauritsen Superliga · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Kanu Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Artem Fedetskyi Premier Liga · 2015 | 30 | €4.5M | €750k | fell |
| Tin Jedvaj Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €2.7M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Celtic | PAOK | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Kilmarnock FC | Celtic | Unknown | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Kilmarnock FC U20 | Kilmarnock FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Dec 2014 | Kilmarnock FC U17 | Kilmarnock FC U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Rangers FC U17 | Kilmarnock FC U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.