Sergio Gómez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sergio Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 5.3M-22.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.6M-15.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-16.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €13.2M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2706 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1462
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.6M – €16.0M
Trajectory drivers: role change LW -> LB; relative output up 108% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -29% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LB | 35 | 2706 | 79% | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1474 | 1462 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | LW | 37 | 2745 | 80% | 2 | 5 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 1503 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Manchester City | Premier League | RW | 6 | 48 | 1% | 0 | 1 | 1.88 | 0.22 | 1532 | 1893 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Manchester City | Premier League | LB | 12 | 341 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 1538 | 1915 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1124 | 1432 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 34 | 2980 | 97% | 5 | 12 | 0.51 | 0.34 | 1337 | 1459 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | SD Huesca | Laliga | LB | 29 | 769 | 22% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 1594 | 1418 | 1.10 |
| 2017/18 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LB | 2 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1524 | 1592 | 1.04 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 8 | 557 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 6 | 283 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 6 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 5 | 195 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 5 | 306 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 4 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 4 | 295 | 0 | 0 | 1362 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | SD Huesca | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Ranocchia Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €17.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Salvatore Bocchetti Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €14.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Mathías Olivera Laliga · 2022 | 25 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos Bundesliga · 2023 | 26 | €15.0M | €17.0M | flat |
| Tuta Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €12.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Leonardo Balerdi Ligue 1 · 2024 | 25 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Marco Friedl Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €7.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Caio Henrique Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | Man City | Real Sociedad | €8.7M | €10.0M |
| 16 Aug 2022 | RSC Anderlecht | Man City | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dortmund | RSC Anderlecht | €3.5M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | SD Huesca | Dortmund | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 12 Aug 2019 | Dortmund | SD Huesca | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Barça U19 | Dortmund | €3.0M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça U18 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Espanyol Youth | Barça Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | CF Badalona You | Espanyol Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.