Mykola Shaparenko

The model rates Mykola Shaparenko's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-5.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-7.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-6.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.23x the positional average in the league (1278 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1278 (47% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.49

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.27

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

44 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1324

Opponent strength

1178

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€2.4M – €6.9M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -60% to +1%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1278 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

37 (all positions)

Relative output kept

87%–128%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

86%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.