
Stanley Nsoki
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stanley Nsoki's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-6.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 54.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 819 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1392
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €862k – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; changed club; relative output up 408% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -58% to -2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Small sample: 819 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | CB | 13 | 819 | 27% | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 1495 | 1392 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 22 | 1307 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1542 | 1415 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 11 | 632 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1527 | 1471 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 19 | 1286 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1524 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 152 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1279 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 26 | 2090 | 68% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1327 | 1512 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | CB | 18 | 1244 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1424 | 1398 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | LB | 17 | 1272 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1389 | 1456 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | LB | 12 | 698 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1431 | 1714 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1347 | 1774 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 433 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 176 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 484 | 0 | 0 | 1733 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 2 | 108 | 0 | 1 | 1571 |
| 2018/19 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1620 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Guilherme Liga Portugal · 2013 | 27 | €1.9M | €1.2M | fell |
| Adam Masina Serie A · 2023 | 29 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Mitchell Dijks Serie A · 2022 | 29 | €2.0M | €850k | fell |
| Alessandro Vogliacco Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Thomas Heurtaux Serie A · 2017 | 29 | €2.7M | €400k | fell |
| Slobodan Rajković Bundesliga · 2016 | 27 | €1.0M | €900k | flat |
| Ardian Ismajli Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Mohamed Fofana Ligue 1 · 2013 | 28 | €1.3M | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Union Berlin | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 24 Jul 2025 | Hoffenheim | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 3 Aug 2022 | Club Brugge | Hoffenheim | €12.0M | €7.0M |
| 24 Jul 2021 | Nice | Club Brugge | €6.5M | €5.0M |
| 31 Aug 2019 | PSG | Nice | €12.5M | €8.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Paris SG B | PSG | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jul 2017 | Paris SG U19 | Paris SG B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.