Gerzino Nyamsi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gerzino Nyamsi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 42
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 53.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1039 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1418
- Opponent strength
- 1346
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €978k – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -41% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1039 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | CB | 14 | 1039 | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1346 | 1418 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | CB | 22 | 1900 | 70% | 4 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 1287 | 1413 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | CB | 13 | 1093 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1483 | 1393 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | CB | 8 | 720 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1297 | 1416 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | CB | 20 | 1579 | 46% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1486 | 1441 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | CB | 34 | 2983 | 87% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1424 | 1503 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 14 | 868 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1442 | 1445 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 4 | 115 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1427 | 1507 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 8 | 539 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1413 | 1488 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 3 | 270 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1433 | 1502 | 0.85 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 8 | 661 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Cameroon | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 7 | 599 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Bengtsson Eredivisie · 2015 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Miha Mevlja Premier Liga · 2019 | 29 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Joris Kayembe Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 30 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Alberto Botía Super League 1 · 2018 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.8M | flat |
| Raúl Silva Liga Portugal · 2019 | 30 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Stefan Ristovski Liga Portugal · 2020 | 28 | €3.2M | €2.0M | fell |
| Kaio Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Abdoulaye Seck Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | R. Strasbourg | Loko Moscow | €3.5M | €5.0M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Stade Rennais | R. Strasbourg | €1.5M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | LB Châteauroux | Rennes B | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Rennes B | LB Châteauroux | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 May 2016 | Rennes U19 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Rennes U17 | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Rennes Jugend | Rennes U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.