Nihad Mujakic

28 yrs · Centre-back (also LB) · Bosnia-Herzegovina
Gaziantep FK · Super Lig · Foot: left · Height: 189 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€301k – €938k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€361k – €562k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€442k – €1.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€576k – €261k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€301k – €938k
Model value (performance-implied)€361k – €562k
Projected value (24 months)€442k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Nihad Mujakic's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 73

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average10.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €401k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.3M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2203 (72% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1189
Opponent strength
1285
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€442k – €1.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -60% to -8%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26EyüpsporSuper LigLB16134944%010.070.15128512040.40
2025/26Gaziantep FKSuper LigCB1185428%000.000.05130311670.40
2023/24MKE AnkaragücüSuper LigCB36320394%110.060.07130912180.45
2022/23MKE AnkaragücüSuper LigCB32288089%000.000.02130012260.50
2019/20KV KortrijkJupiler Pro LeagueCB1903%000.000.07133013420.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Partizan Belgrade2210001376
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFK Partizan Belgrade2180001463
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Partizan Belgrade2180001456
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingFK Sarajevo4360101415

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Richard Jensen
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€750k€750kflat
Kevin García
Super League 1 · 2016
27€600k€200kfell
Issam Chebake
Super Lig · 2020
31€950k€400kfell
Semih Kaya
Super Lig · 2021
30€900k€400kfell
Burak Öksüz
Super Lig · 2022
26€1.1M€800kfell
Leeroy Owusu
Superliga · 2024
28€650k€1.0Mrose
Liam Gordon
Scottish Premiership · 2023
27€500k€450kflat
Lamine Gassama
Super Lig · 2020
31€1.0M€150kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Gaziantep FKPartizanFree / loan€1.2M
8 Jan 2026PartizanGaziantep FKFree / loan€1.2M
7 Jan 2026EyüpsporPartizanFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2025PartizanEyüpsporFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2024AnkaragücüPartizan€895k€2.0M
2 Aug 2022FK SarajevoAnkaragücü€500k€400k
31 Jan 2022KV KortrijkFK SarajevoUnknown€300k
19 Jan 2022Waasland-BeverenKV KortrijkFree / loan€300k
11 Aug 2021KV KortrijkWaasland-BeverenFree / loan€400k
30 Jun 2021Hajduk SplitKV KortrijkFree / loan€400k
20 Jan 2020KV KortrijkHajduk SplitFree / loan€800k
10 Jun 2019FK SarajevoKV KortrijkFree / loan€1.0M
1 Feb 2019KV KortrijkFK SarajevoFree / loan€750k
31 Jan 2019FK SarajevoKV KortrijkUnknown€750k
19 Jun 2017Sarajevo U19FK SarajevoUnknown€100k
1 Jan 2015Sarajevo U17Sarajevo U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013FK Sarajevo YthSarajevo U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.