
Lassana Coulibaly
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lassana Coulibaly's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-7.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2696 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 72
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €729k vs market €2.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2696 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 72 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1352
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €985k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -63% to -23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Lecce | Serie A | CM | 33 | 2696 | 79% | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1497 | 1352 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | US Lecce | Serie A | CM | 38 | 2673 | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 1503 | 1351 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | US Salernitana 1919 | Serie A | CM | 28 | 2086 | 61% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 1492 | 1255 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Salernitana 1919 | Serie A | CM | 35 | 2901 | 85% | 3 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.27 | 1485 | 1379 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | US Salernitana 1919 | Serie A | CM | 31 | 2338 | 68% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1490 | 1283 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CM | 29 | 1686 | 49% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 1458 | 1326 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 16 | 1339 | 51% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 1402 | 1202 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 19 | 1067 | 36% | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 1305 | 1481 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CM | 19 | 798 | 23% | 1 | 3 | 0.45 | 0.42 | 1459 | 1381 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | CM | 30 | 2232 | 65% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 1446 | 1365 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | SC Bastia | Ligue 1 | CM | 15 | 703 | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1432 | 1395 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Mali | 4 | 296 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Lecce | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Salernitana 1919 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | US Salernitana 1919 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | US Salernitana 1919 | 2 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 6 | 493 | 0 | 0 | 1507 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 3 | 255 | 1 | 0 | 1436 |
| 2018/19 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 1 | 67 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulaye Touré Ligue 1 · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Konstantin Vassiljev Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Mehdi Mostefa Ligue 1 · 2013 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Francesco Magnanelli Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Florian Kainz Bundesliga · 2024 | 32 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Manuel Prietl Bundesliga · 2021 | 30 | €1.8M | €450k | fell |
| Alexandru Gatcan Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Haris Medunjanin Super Lig · 2014 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | Salernitana | Lecce | €1.8M | €3.5M |
| 31 Jul 2021 | Angers SCO | Salernitana | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Cercle Brugge | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €950k |
| 21 Aug 2019 | Angers SCO | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 20 May 2019 | Rangers | Angers SCO | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 10 Jul 2018 | Angers SCO | Rangers | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 5 Jul 2017 | SC Bastia | Angers SCO | €2.0M | €1.3M |
| 7 Aug 2015 | SC Bastia B | SC Bastia | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | SC Bastia U19 | SC Bastia B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | SC Bastia U17 | SC Bastia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Bastia Jugend | SC Bastia U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | JMG Bamako | Bastia Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.