Lassana Coulibaly

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Mali
US Lecce · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€547k – €1.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.9M – €7.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€985k – €1.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€1.2M – €6.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€547k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €7.3M
Projected value (24 months)€985k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Lassana Coulibaly's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-7.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2696 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 72

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average72.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €729k vs market €2.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2696 (79% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.13
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1352
Opponent strength
1497
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€985k – €1.7M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 39% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -63% to -23%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26US LecceSerie ACM33269679%310.130.20149713520.93
2024/25US LecceSerie ACM38267378%110.070.14150313510.99
2023/24US Salernitana 1919Serie ACM28208661%010.040.14149212550.98
2022/23US Salernitana 1919Serie ACM35290185%330.190.27148513790.94
2021/22US Salernitana 1919Serie ACM31233868%000.000.08149012830.89
2020/21Angers SCOLigue 1CM29168649%110.110.17145813260.75
2019/20Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM16133951%010.070.12140212020.63
2018/19Rangers FCScottish PremiershipCM19106736%120.250.18130514810.44
2017/18Angers SCOLigue 1CM1979823%130.450.42145913810.85
2016/17SC BastiaLigue 1CM30223265%020.080.14144613650.88
2015/16SC BastiaLigue 1CM1570321%100.130.17143213950.78

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsMali429600—
2025/26Italy CupUS Lecce210000—
2023/24Italy CupUS Salernitana 191919000—
2022/23Italy CupUS Salernitana 191919000—
2021/22Italy CupUS Salernitana 191927100—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueRangers FC6493001507
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingRangers FC3255101436
2018/19Scottish Fa CupRangers FC16710—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Abdoulaye Touré
Ligue 1 · 2024
30€3.0M€2.5Mflat
Konstantin Vassiljev
Premier Liga · 2013
29€2.0M€600kfell
Mehdi Mostefa
Ligue 1 · 2013
30€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Francesco Magnanelli
Serie A · 2014
30€2.0M€2.5Mrose
Florian Kainz
Bundesliga · 2024
32€2.5M€1.0Mfell
Manuel Prietl
Bundesliga · 2021
30€1.8M€450kfell
Alexandru Gatcan
Premier Liga · 2013
29€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Haris Medunjanin
Super Lig · 2014
29€3.0M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
14 Aug 2024SalernitanaLecce€1.8M€3.5M
31 Jul 2021Angers SCOSalernitanaFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2020Cercle BruggeAngers SCOFree / loan€950k
21 Aug 2019Angers SCOCercle BruggeFree / loan€1.3M
20 May 2019RangersAngers SCOFree / loan€1.3M
10 Jul 2018Angers SCORangersFree / loan€1.3M
5 Jul 2017SC BastiaAngers SCO€2.0M€1.3M
7 Aug 2015SC Bastia BSC BastiaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014SC Bastia U19SC Bastia BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2013SC Bastia U17SC Bastia U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Bastia JugendSC Bastia U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009JMG BamakoBastia JugendFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.