Daiki Hashioka
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daiki Hashioka's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.7M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 27.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €995k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 493 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 21)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1332
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €599k – €1.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -65% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Small sample: 493 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 7 | 493 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1332 | 1403 | 0.65 |
| 2023/24 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 18 | 1506 | 56% | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 1392 | 1324 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Luton Town | Premier League | RB | 10 | 595 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1644 | 1315 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 32 | 2757 | 90% | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1314 | 1316 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 30 | 2317 | 76% | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 1352 | 1323 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 6 | 476 | 16% | 0 | 3 | 0.57 | 0.26 | 1367 | 1284 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KAA Gent | 9 | 788 | 0 | 0 | 1482 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SK Slavia Prague | 4 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Luton Town | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Thelander Eredivisie · 2019 | 28 | €750k | €600k | fell |
| Ferro Eredivisie · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Bryan Idowu Premier Liga · 2020 | 28 | €950k | €1.2M | rose |
| Hikmet Balioglu Super Lig · 2015 | 25 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Hernán de la Fuente Liga Portugal · 2023 | 26 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Milos Satara Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Tiago Ilori Liga Portugal · 2020 | 27 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Edin Cocalic Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 28 | €1.2M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | KAA Gent | Slavia Praha | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Slavia Praha | KAA Gent | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Luton | Slavia Praha | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 30 Jan 2024 | Sint-Truiden | Luton | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Urawa Reds | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Sint-Truiden | Urawa Reds | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Urawa Reds | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Feb 2018 | Urawa Reds U18 | Urawa Reds | Unknown | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.