Omar Traoré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Omar Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1500 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1323
- Opponent strength
- 1502
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €765k – €2.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 37 pts; relative output up 74% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -58% to -43%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1500 league minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | RB | 26 | 1500 | 49% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1502 | 1323 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | RB | 30 | 2622 | 86% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 1506 | 1353 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | RB | 31 | 2478 | 81% | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1540 | 1424 | 1.01 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1396 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Stojanović Serie A · 2023 | 28 | €2.3M | €750k | fell |
| Giancarlo González Serie A · 2017 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Zargo Touré Ligue 1 · 2017 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Charalampos Lykogiannis Serie A · 2022 | 29 | €2.2M | €1.0M | fell |
| Florian Klein Bundesliga · 2016 | 30 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Sebastian Langkamp Bundesliga · 2015 | 27 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Andrea Costa Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €1.4M | €1.0M | fell |
| Francesco Pisano Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €2.3M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | VfL Osnabrück | Heidenheim | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | KFC Uerdingen | VfL Osnabrück | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | SV Rödinghausen | KFC Uerdingen | Free / loan | €175k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Without Club | SV Rödinghausen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Braunschw. U19 | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Osnabrück U17 | Braunschw. U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Osnabrück Yth. | Osnabrück U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.