Ricard Sánchez

26 yrs · Right-back · Spain
GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1000k – €2.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€597k – €1.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €4.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.7M – €584k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1000k – €2.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €1.6M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €4.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ricard Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 93

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average34.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.3M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationLow-15% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1981 (65% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.27
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.23
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
35 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1305
Opponent strength
1351
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €4.0M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -59% to +13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
66 (DEF)
Relative output kept
57%–168%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26GD Estoril PraiaLiga PortugalRB26198165%240.270.23135113050.58
2023/24Granada CFLaligaRB33230067%310.160.23149113151.00
2020/21Atlético de MadridLaligaRB1291%000.000.08153617281.10

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2020/21Copa Del ReyAtlético de Madrid213711—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
João Afonso
Liga Portugal · 2016
26€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Majid Hosseini
Super Lig · 2023
27€3.0M€1.3Mfell
Kaan Kanak
Super Lig · 2016
26€2.0M€200kfell
Jack Hendry
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
26€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Seth De Witte
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
26€1.2M€1.5Mrose
Birger Meling
Ligue 1 · 2021
27€3.5M€5.0Mrose
Moritz Bauer
Premier Liga · 2017
25€2.3M€2.5Mflat
Pol García
Jupiler Pro League · 2020
25€1.2M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
12 Aug 2025Granada CFEstorilFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2022CD LugoGranada CFFree / loan€600k
31 Aug 2021Granada CFCD LugoFree / loan€1.5M
30 Aug 2021Atl. MadrileñoGranada CF€490k€1.5M
1 Jul 2019Atl. Madrid U19Atl. MadrileñoUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2018Toledo U19Atl. Madrid U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2017Barça U18Toledo U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Barça U16Barça U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Barça YouthBarça U16UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ricard Sánchez · MoneyballAI