Ricard Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ricard Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 34.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1981 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.23
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1305
- Opponent strength
- 1351
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €4.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -59% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | GD Estoril Praia | Liga Portugal | RB | 26 | 1981 | 65% | 2 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 1351 | 1305 | 0.58 |
| 2023/24 | Granada CF | Laliga | RB | 33 | 2300 | 67% | 3 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 1491 | 1315 | 1.00 |
| 2020/21 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | RB | 1 | 29 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1536 | 1728 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 137 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Afonso Liga Portugal · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Majid Hosseini Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €3.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Kaan Kanak Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €200k | fell |
| Jack Hendry Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 26 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Seth De Witte Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 26 | €1.2M | €1.5M | rose |
| Birger Meling Ligue 1 · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Moritz Bauer Premier Liga · 2017 | 25 | €2.3M | €2.5M | flat |
| Pol García Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 25 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | Granada CF | Estoril | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | CD Lugo | Granada CF | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Granada CF | CD Lugo | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Atl. Madrileño | Granada CF | €490k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Atl. Madrid U19 | Atl. Madrileño | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Toledo U19 | Atl. Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Barça U18 | Toledo U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Barça U16 | Barça U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.