Juan Iglesias
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Juan Iglesias's performance-implied value at EUR 3.9M-10.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.2M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-7.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 74.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.5M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3189 (93% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 74 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1446
- Opponent strength
- 1490
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.9M – €7.6M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -22% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 37 | 3189 | 93% | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1490 | 1446 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 37 | 2890 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 1513 | 1395 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 23 | 1416 | 41% | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 1486 | 1415 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 32 | 2143 | 63% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1510 | 1434 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 20 | 710 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1524 | 1458 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Getafe CF | Laliga | RB | 10 | 604 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1597 | 1471 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 1 | 28 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 5 | 406 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 251 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 3 | 226 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Nicolaisen Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Peter Pekarík Bundesliga · 2014 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Gabriel Paletta Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Ben Mee Premier League · 2017 | 28 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Sebastiano Luperto Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €3.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Gian Marco Ferrari Serie A · 2022 | 30 | €7.0M | €1.4M | fell |
| Mariano Ligue 1 · 2014 | 28 | €5.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Andreas Beck Bundesliga · 2015 | 28 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Getafe | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Getafe CF B | Getafe | Unknown | €250k |
| 18 Jul 2019 | UD Logroñés | Getafe CF B | €100k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Logroñés Prom. | UD Logroñés | Unknown | €50k |
| 2 Sept 2017 | Valladolid U19 | Logroñés Prom. | Free / loan | €50k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.