Angel Gomes

26 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, LM) · England
Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 168 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€10.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€4.8M – €10.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.4M – €14.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.6M – €11.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€4.3M – €10.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.8M – €10.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.4M – €14.8M
Projected value (24 months)€3.6M – €11.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Angel Gomes's performance-implied value at EUR 6.4M-14.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.8M-10.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-11.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (1357 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 26

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh78.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €8.4M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-31% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €28.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1357 (40% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.20
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.26
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
78 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1477
Opponent strength
1420
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.6M – €11.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; changed club; team strength down (-117 Elo); league level up (+50 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -59% to -22%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1357 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Olympique MarseilleLigue 1AM1489229%300.300.26142015040.88
2025/26Wolverhampton WanderersPremier LeagueAM1246514%000.000.37158914251.30
2024/25LOSC LilleLigue 1AM1473724%110.240.30147715940.88
2023/24LOSC LilleLigue 1AM31258584%080.280.26147115520.87
2022/23LOSC LilleLigue 1CM36283783%260.250.22143115550.82
2021/22LOSC LilleLigue 1CM2495328%110.190.15140115400.86
2020/21Boavista FCLiga PortugalAM30250882%660.430.50135513080.61
2019/20Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM2191%000.000.32145817201.14
2018/19Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueLM2251%000.000.11134916691.22
2016/17Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueCM120%000.000.14145916941.07

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Marseille464001564
2025/26Fa CupWolverhampton Wanderers16100—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingLOSC Lille2172001583
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueLOSC Lille4160101641
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingLOSC Lille2210001518
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueLOSC Lille4169111634
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United3246001481
2017/18Fa CupManchester United1200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dominik Kohr
Bundesliga · 2020
26€6.8M€5.0Mfell
Óscar Rodríguez
Laliga · 2022
24€9.0M€2.5Mfell
Manuel Lanzini
Premier League · 2020
27€16.0M€12.0Mfell
Frank Onyeka
Premier League · 2024
26€9.0M€8.0Mflat
Hatem Ben Arfa
Premier League · 2013
26€13.5M€6.0Mfell
Jack Rodwell
Premier League · 2016
25€8.0M€2.5Mfell
Valentino Lazaro
Bundesliga · 2021
25€10.0M€5.0Mfell
Michel Aebischer
Serie A · 2023
26€4.0M€7.5Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026WolvesMarseilleFree / loan€10.0M
2 Feb 2026MarseilleWolvesFree / loan€18.0M
4 Jul 2025LilleMarseilleFree / loan€20.0M
30 Jun 2021BoavistaLilleFree / loan€6.0M
10 Aug 2020LilleBoavistaFree / loan€3.6M
9 Aug 2020Man UtdLilleFree / loan€3.6M
1 Jul 2019Man Utd U23Man UtdUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Man Utd U18Man Utd U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Man Utd YouthMan Utd U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.