
Angel Gomes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Angel Gomes's performance-implied value at EUR 6.4M-14.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.8M-10.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-11.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (1357 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 26
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 78.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €8.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1357 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1477
- Opponent strength
- 1420
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €11.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; changed club; team strength down (-117 Elo); league level up (+50 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -59% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1357 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | AM | 14 | 892 | 29% | 3 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 1420 | 1504 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | AM | 12 | 465 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1589 | 1425 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 14 | 737 | 24% | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 1477 | 1594 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | AM | 31 | 2585 | 84% | 0 | 8 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 1471 | 1552 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | CM | 36 | 2837 | 83% | 2 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 1431 | 1555 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | CM | 24 | 953 | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 1401 | 1540 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Boavista FC | Liga Portugal | AM | 30 | 2508 | 82% | 6 | 6 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 1355 | 1308 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester United | Premier League | AM | 2 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1458 | 1720 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | Manchester United | Premier League | LM | 2 | 25 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1349 | 1669 | 1.22 |
| 2016/17 | Manchester United | Premier League | CM | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1459 | 1694 | 1.07 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Marseille | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1564 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 1583 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 4 | 160 | 1 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1518 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 4 | 169 | 1 | 1 | 1634 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 3 | 246 | 0 | 0 | 1481 |
| 2017/18 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kohr Bundesliga · 2020 | 26 | €6.8M | €5.0M | fell |
| Óscar Rodríguez Laliga · 2022 | 24 | €9.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Manuel Lanzini Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €16.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Frank Onyeka Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €9.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Hatem Ben Arfa Premier League · 2013 | 26 | €13.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Jack Rodwell Premier League · 2016 | 25 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Valentino Lazaro Bundesliga · 2021 | 25 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Michel Aebischer Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €4.0M | €7.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Wolves | Marseille | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Marseille | Wolves | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 4 Jul 2025 | Lille | Marseille | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Boavista | Lille | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 10 Aug 2020 | Lille | Boavista | Free / loan | €3.6M |
| 9 Aug 2020 | Man Utd | Lille | Free / loan | €3.6M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Man Utd U23 | Man Utd | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Man Utd U18 | Man Utd U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Man Utd Youth | Man Utd U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.