Ryan Sessegnon

26 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · England
Fulham FC · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€22.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€10.3M – €20.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€11.8M – €33.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€8.6M – €26.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€9.0M – €23.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€10.3M – €20.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.8M – €33.7M
Projected value (24 months)€8.6M – €26.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ryan Sessegnon's performance-implied value at EUR 11.8M-33.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.3M-20.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.6M-26.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 65

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh88.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €13.8M vs market €22.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €35.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1822 (53% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.30
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.30
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
89 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1576
Opponent strength
1600
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€8.6M – €26.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 36 pts; relative output down 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -52% to +5%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Fulham FCPremier LeagueLB27182253%330.300.30160015761.30
2024/25Fulham FCPremier LeagueLB1658017%420.930.46157915551.23
2022/23Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLM1781124%200.220.12157716061.23
2021/22Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLM15105331%020.170.21160116591.17
2020/21TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesligaLB23157351%230.290.20152215251.06
2019/20Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueLM634210%000.000.11141816301.14
2018/19Fulham FCPremier LeagueLM35229467%260.310.42157613501.22

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Fa CupFulham FC215600—
2024/25Fa CupFulham FC421201—
2023/24Fa CupTottenham Hotspur1700—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur3154001590
2022/23Fa CupTottenham Hotspur214801—
2021/22Fa CupTottenham Hotspur216800—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingTottenham Hotspur2144001334
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueTSG 1899 Hoffenheim5246001453
2020/21Dfb PokalTSG 1899 Hoffenheim112000—
2019/20Fa CupTottenham Hotspur323600—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur3195111744
2018/19Fa CupFulham FC11600—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ben Chilwell
Premier League · 2023
27€35.0M€15.0Mfell
Mamadou Sakho
Premier League · 2018
28€15.0M€9.5Mfell
Kristoffer Ajer
Premier League · 2024
26€15.0M€18.0Mrose
Sergio Reguilón
Premier League · 2024
28€12.0M€3.5Mfell
Mason Holgate
Premier League · 2020
24€13.5M€18.0Mrose
Yerry Mina
Premier League · 2020
26€20.0M€20.0Mflat
Lars Bender
Bundesliga · 2018
29€13.0M€7.0Mfell
Mouctar Diakhaby
Laliga · 2019
23€20.0M€10.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jul 2024TottenhamFulhamFree / loan€10.0M
30 Jun 2021HoffenheimTottenhamFree / loan€18.0M
5 Oct 2020TottenhamHoffenheimFree / loan€25.0M
8 Aug 2019FulhamTottenham€27.0M€35.0M
1 Jul 2016Fulham U18FulhamUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.