
Elisha Owusu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Elisha Owusu's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.37x the positional average in the league (2349 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 82
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 66.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -30% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2349 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €3.5M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 72% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -50% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | DM | 29 | 2349 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1464 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | DM | 28 | 2355 | 77% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1464 | 1393 | 0.88 |
| 2022/23 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 9 | 467 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1292 | 1451 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 18 | 971 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1297 | 1420 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 23 | 1510 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1319 | 1390 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 27 | 2212 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1382 | 1518 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ghana | 2 | 123 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1327 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | KAA Gent | 4 | 252 | 0 | 0 | 1508 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 3 | 234 | 0 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | KAA Gent | 8 | 690 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1429 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Édgar Barreto Serie A · 2013 | 29 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Óscar Valentín Laliga · 2023 | 29 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Haris Belkebla Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €4.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Gelson Fernandes Ligue 1 · 2015 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Perparim Hetemaj Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €3.0M | €4.2M | rose |
| Arnaud Souquet Ligue 1 · 2020 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Daniele Dessena Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.7M | flat |
| Alaixys Romao Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2023 | KAA Gent | AJ Auxerre | €500k | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Lyon | KAA Gent | €1.0M | €1.3M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | FC Sochaux | Lyon | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Lyon | FC Sochaux | Free / loan | €100k |
| 23 Feb 2017 | Olymp. Lyon B | Lyon | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Olymp. Lyon U19 | Olymp. Lyon B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.