Elisha Owusu

28 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Ghana
AJ Auxerre · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.3M – €3.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.3M – €7.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €3.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.3M – €6.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €7.4M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Elisha Owusu's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-7.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.37x the positional average in the league (2349 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 82

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average66.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.7M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2349 (77% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1402
Opponent strength
1464
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €3.5M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 72% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -50% to -11%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AJ AuxerreLigue 1DM29234977%000.000.05146414020.88
2024/25AJ AuxerreLigue 1DM28235577%130.150.17146413930.88
2022/23KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM946715%000.000.08129214510.58
2021/22KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM1897132%000.000.04129714200.49
2020/21KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM23151049%000.000.03131913900.55
2019/20KAA GentJupiler Pro LeagueDM27221285%000.000.02138215180.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26World CupGhana212300—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingKAA Gent17001327
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent4252001508
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingKAA Gent3234001521
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueKAA Gent8690001491
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingKAA Gent6540001429

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Édgar Barreto
Serie A · 2013
29€5.0M€5.0Mflat
Óscar Valentín
Laliga · 2023
29€5.0M€2.5Mfell
Haris Belkebla
Ligue 1 · 2022
28€4.0M€1.7Mfell
Gelson Fernandes
Ligue 1 · 2015
29€3.0M€2.5Mflat
Perparim Hetemaj
Serie A · 2015
29€3.0M€4.2Mrose
Arnaud Souquet
Ligue 1 · 2020
28€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Daniele Dessena
Serie A · 2014
27€2.0M€1.7Mflat
Alaixys Romao
Ligue 1 · 2013
29€4.0M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jan 2023KAA GentAJ Auxerre€500k€2.5M
1 Jul 2019LyonKAA Gent€1.0M€1.3M
30 Jun 2019FC SochauxLyonFree / loan€1.3M
1 Jul 2018LyonFC SochauxFree / loan€100k
23 Feb 2017Olymp. Lyon BLyonUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Olymp. Lyon U19Olymp. Lyon BUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.