Dimitrios Stavropoulos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitrios Stavropoulos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €366k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2250 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1239
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €291k – €644k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 68 pts; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -32% to -3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CB | 25 | 2250 | 96% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1239 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CB | 14 | 657 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1308 | 1192 | 0.35 |
| 2019/20 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | CB | 24 | 2160 | 92% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1313 | 1147 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | CB | 17 | 1230 | 46% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1274 | 1239 | 0.43 |
| 2017/18 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | CB | 10 | 819 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1329 | 1303 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 404 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 6 | 570 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 6 | 418 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panionios Athens | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1502 |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolai Alho Super League 1 · 2023 | 30 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Andriy Tsurikov Premier Liga · 2022 | 30 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Jacob Une Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €750k | €700k | flat |
| Wajdi Kechrida Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Giannis Stathis Super League 1 · 2015 | 28 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Stefan Gartenmann Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €700k | €1.5M | rose |
| Laurens De Bock Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Arjan Swinkels Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €700k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2024 | Warta Poznan | Atromitos | Free / loan | €400k |
| 5 Jul 2022 | Reggina | Warta Poznan | Free / loan | €700k |
| 22 Aug 2020 | Panionios | Reggina | Free / loan | €400k |
| 3 Aug 2016 | Panionios U20 | Panionios | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Olympiacos U20 | Panionios U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.