Yves Bissouma

30 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Mali
Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.9M – €14.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€6.5M – €16.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.9M – €6.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.7M – €12.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.9M – €14.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.5M – €16.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €6.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yves Bissouma's performance-implied value at EUR 6.5M-16.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-14.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-6.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (605 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh85.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €7.9M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-60% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €35.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
605 (18% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
86 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1564
Opponent strength
1609
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.9M – €6.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; relative output down 49% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -65% to -28%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 605 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM1160518%000.000.06160915641.30
2024/25Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM28140641%200.130.12159815641.23
2023/24Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueDM28208361%000.000.03158615881.14
2022/23Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueCM23100429%000.000.08157416061.23
2021/22Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier LeagueDM26211662%120.130.13157315371.17
2020/21Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier LeagueDM36311491%100.030.05155514921.19
2019/20Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier LeagueCM22126237%100.070.20163714491.14
2018/19Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier LeagueCM28176952%000.000.09156314171.22
2017/18LOSC LilleLigue 1CM24155545%210.170.24145213720.85
2016/17LOSC LilleLigue 1CM2375022%100.120.17140114480.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsMali428500—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueTottenham Hotspur10661001562
2024/25Fa CupTottenham Hotspur216500—
2022/23Fa CupTottenham Hotspur19000—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur389001594
2021/22Fa CupBrighton & Hove Albion19010—
2020/21Fa CupBrighton & Hove Albion322110—
2019/20Fa CupBrighton & Hove Albion16300—
2018/19Fa CupBrighton & Hove Albion543611—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingLOSC Lille114001339

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Leander Dendoncker
Premier League · 2023
28€15.0M€4.5Mfell
Matt Doherty
Premier League · 2023
31€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Morgan Schneiderlin
Premier League · 2020
31€9.5M€3.5Mfell
Philippe Coutinho
Premier League · 2023
31€10.0M€7.5Mfell
Marvelous Nakamba
Premier League · 2022
28€7.0M€5.0Mfell
Maxime Gonalons
Laliga · 2019
30€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Nampalys Mendy
Premier League · 2022
30€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Enzo Pérez
Laliga · 2016
30€14.0M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026TottenhamWithout ClubUnknown€10.0M
1 Jul 2022BrightonTottenham€29.2M€35.0M
17 Jul 2018LilleBrighton€16.8M€8.0M
1 Mar 2016RealLilleUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015JMG BamakoRealUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Yves Bissouma · MoneyballAI