Shurandy Sambo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Shurandy Sambo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €648k vs market €1.3M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1627 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €588k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -41% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1627 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 25 | 1627 | 53% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 1311 | 1213 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 11 | 181 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1288 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 30 | 2319 | 76% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1348 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2020/21 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1430 | 1567 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Curaçao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malte Amundsen Superliga · 2021 | 23 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Eric Björkander Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Teenage Hadebe Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €675k | €1.5M | rose |
| Jukka Raitala Eredivisie · 2013 | 25 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Manolis Bertos Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Pedro Pereira Super Lig · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Yasir Subaşı Super Lig · 2020 | 24 | €475k | €300k | fell |
| Ákos Kecskés Premier Liga · 2022 | 26 | €800k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Sparta R. | Burnley | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Burnley | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | PSV | Burnley | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PSV U21 | PSV | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Sparta R. | PSV U21 | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 4 Aug 2022 | PSV U21 | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | PSV U19 | PSV U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PSV U17 | PSV U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PSV Yth. | PSV U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.