Danylo Sikan
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Danylo Sikan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-4.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-4.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.79x the positional average in the league (463 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 36.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.9M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 463 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1239
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €4.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; league level up (+96 Elo); role change LW -> ST.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -43% to +40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 463 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | ST | 13 | 240 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.44 | 1239 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 5 | 223 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 1330 | 1393 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LW | 14 | 777 | 24% | 3 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 1277 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 747 | 28% | 3 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.37 | 1191 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 30 | 2006 | 74% | 10 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 1249 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 26 | 1166 | 43% | 9 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.42 | 1273 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2020/21 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | ST | 14 | 724 | 31% | 4 | 2 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 1287 | 1222 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 3 | 114 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1280 | 1619 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | ST | 1 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 1205 | 1310 | 0.57 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | RSC Anderlecht | 4 | 193 | 2 | 1 | 1435 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 221 | 1 | 0 | 1684 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 480 | 4 | 1 | 1640 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 223 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1703 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Mariupol | 2 | 145 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1914 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilzat Akhmetov Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Sefa Yilmaz Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €3.5M | €150k | fell |
| Joseph Paintsil Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 24 | €2.5M | €9.5M | rose |
| Enzo Crivelli Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.8M | €900k | fell |
| Sloan Privat Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Georges-Kevin N'Koudou Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €4.2M | €3.3M | fell |
| Ahmed Hassan Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Wilson Isidor Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €4.0M | €18.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | Trabzonspor | RSC Anderlecht | €4.0M | €5.0M |
| 22 Jan 2025 | Shakhtar D. | Trabzonspor | €6.0M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Hansa Rostock | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Shakhtar D. | Hansa Rostock | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar D. | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 17 Sept 2020 | Shakhtar D. | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Shakhtar II | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | FC Mariupol | Shakhtar II | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 13 Feb 2019 | Shakhtar II | FC Mariupol | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 21 Jan 2019 | Karpaty U19 | Shakhtar II | €150k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | UFK Lviv | Karpaty U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.