
Quinten Timber
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Quinten Timber's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-9.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.6M-29.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.2M-28.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (2429 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €21.4M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2429 (79% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 66 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1460
- Opponent strength
- 1295
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €12.2M – €28.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 34 pts; team strength down (-105 Elo); league level up (+49 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -12% to +30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 17 | 1317 | 43% | 2 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.19 | 1295 | 1423 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | CM | 15 | 1112 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1475 | 1504 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 18 | 1394 | 46% | 6 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.16 | 1300 | 1565 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 31 | 2674 | 87% | 7 | 9 | 0.54 | 0.24 | 1347 | 1593 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 24 | 1646 | 54% | 2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 1337 | 1639 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | CM | 31 | 2369 | 77% | 2 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 1347 | 1358 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 4 | 239 | 1 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 151 | 1 | 0 | 1496 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Netherlands | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 597 | 0 | 1 | 1648 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 467 | 0 | 0 | 1616 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5 | 441 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1588 |
| 2023/24 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 502 | 1 | 0 | 1441 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Zobnin Premier Liga · 2019 | 25 | €14.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Wendel Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €19.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Galeno Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Soualiho Meïté Serie A · 2019 | 25 | €13.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Otávio Liga Portugal · 2020 | 25 | €13.5M | €30.0M | rose |
| Younès Belhanda Premier Liga · 2015 | 25 | €9.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Dennis Praet Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €25.0M | €19.0M | fell |
| Rémy Cabella Ligue 1 · 2016 | 26 | €8.0M | €9.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Feyenoord | Marseille | €4.5M | €25.0M |
| 28 Jul 2022 | Utrecht | Feyenoord | €7.4M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Ajax U21 | Utrecht | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Feyenoord Youth | Ajax Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.