Quinten Timber

25 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Netherlands
Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 176 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€25.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€15.6M – €29.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.1M – €9.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€12.2M – €28.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€27.8M – -€6.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€15.6M – €29.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €9.5M
Projected value (24 months)€12.2M – €28.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Quinten Timber's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-9.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.6M-29.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.2M-28.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.65x the positional average in the league (2429 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 33

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average65.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €21.4M vs market €25.0M
Expected appreciationLow-25% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €35.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2429 (79% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.19
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
66 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1460
Opponent strength
1295
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€12.2M – €28.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 34 pts; team strength down (-105 Elo); league level up (+49 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -12% to +30%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCM17131743%240.410.19129514230.43
2025/26Olympique MarseilleLigue 1CM15111236%000.000.09147515040.88
2024/25Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCM18139446%600.390.16130015650.50
2023/24Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCM31267487%790.540.24134715930.48
2022/23Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieDM24164654%230.270.13133716390.58
2021/22FC UtrechtEredivisieCM31236977%240.230.21134713580.60

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam4239101443
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFeyenoord Rotterdam2151101496
2025/26Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam19000—
2025/26World CupNetherlands12000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam7597011648
2024/25Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam16300—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam6467001616
2023/24Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam544111—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam1120001588
2023/24Johan Cruijff SchaalFeyenoord Rotterdam128001649
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam6502101441
2022/23Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam17400—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Roman Zobnin
Premier Liga · 2019
25€14.0M€13.0Mflat
Wendel
Premier Liga · 2022
25€19.0M€20.0Mflat
Galeno
Liga Portugal · 2021
24€10.0M€20.0Mrose
Soualiho Meïté
Serie A · 2019
25€13.0M€5.0Mfell
Otávio
Liga Portugal · 2020
25€13.5M€30.0Mrose
Younès Belhanda
Premier Liga · 2015
25€9.0M€9.0Mflat
Dennis Praet
Serie A · 2018
24€25.0M€19.0Mfell
Rémy Cabella
Ligue 1 · 2016
26€8.0M€9.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jan 2026FeyenoordMarseille€4.5M€25.0M
28 Jul 2022UtrechtFeyenoord€7.4M€4.0M
1 Jul 2021Ajax U21UtrechtFree / loan€1.6M
1 Jul 2019Ajax U19Ajax U21Unknown€200k
1 Jul 2018Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Ajax YouthAjax U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Feyenoord YouthAjax YouthUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.