
Yann Sommer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yann Sommer's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-7.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Elite | 99th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.5M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2961 (87% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 99 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1722
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €650k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-96 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -60% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Inter Milan | Serie A | GK | 33 | 2961 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1496 | 1722 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Inter Milan | Serie A | GK | 33 | 2970 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1494 | 1819 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Inter Milan | Serie A | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1485 | 1802 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | GK | 19 | 1710 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1522 | 1817 | 1.04 |
| 2022/23 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 10 | 900 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1511 | 1499 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 33 | 2949 | 96% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1521 | 1535 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 31 | 2713 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1524 | 1581 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1532 | 1604 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1507 | 1528 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 30 | 2627 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1512 | 1521 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1523 | 1549 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 32 | 2880 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1512 | 1596 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1533 | 1645 | 1.03 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 14 | 1290 | 0 | 0 | 1705 |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1713 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 7 | 660 | 0 | 0 | 1653 |
| 2023/24 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1811 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1738 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1481 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1727 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1588 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1721 |
| 2015/16 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 1507 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1395 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Handanovic Serie A · 2021 | 37 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Gianluigi Buffon Serie A · 2015 | 37 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Pepe Reina Serie A · 2017 | 35 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Morgan De Sanctis Serie A · 2014 | 37 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Lukas Hradecky Bundesliga · 2024 | 35 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Petr Cech Premier League · 2018 | 36 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Tim Howard Premier League · 2014 | 35 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Helton Liga Portugal · 2013 | 35 | €4.5M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Inter | Without Club | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 7 Aug 2023 | Bayern Munich | Inter | €6.9M | €5.0M |
| 19 Jan 2023 | Mönchengladbach | Bayern Munich | €9.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Basel | Mönchengladbach | €9.0M | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2010 | Grasshoppers | Basel | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Basel | Grasshoppers | Free / loan | €700k |
| 7 Jan 2009 | FC Vaduz | Basel | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Basel | FC Vaduz | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2006 | FC Basel U18 | Basel | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | FC Basel U16 | FC Basel U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | Concordia Yth. | FC Basel U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.