Rustam Yatimov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rustam Yatimov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.9th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2520 (93% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1301
- Opponent strength
- 1343
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €910k – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 28 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -57% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | GK | 28 | 2520 | 93% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1343 | 1301 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | GK | 20 | 1772 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1295 | 1342 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsman Eredivisie · 2017 | 27 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Amir Abedzadeh Liga Portugal · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Hugo Ventura Liga Portugal · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Ruud Boffin Super Lig · 2016 | 29 | €2.5M | €450k | fell |
| Ilya Pomazun Premier Liga · 2022 | 26 | €1.8M | €2.0M | flat |
| Colin Coosemans Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Darren Keet Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 27 | €1.0M | €900k | flat |
| Hervé Koffi Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 28 | €2.0M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Istiqlol | Rostov | €230k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Volga NN | Istiqlol | Free / loan | €50k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Istiqlol | Volga NN | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Volga NN | Istiqlol | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Volga NN U19 | Volga NN | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.