Ivan Perišić
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ivan Perišić's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-3.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (2219 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 86.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €398k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2219 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.77
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1606
- Opponent strength
- 1297
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €444k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: role change RW -> LW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -73% to -36%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | LW | 30 | 2219 | 73% | 7 | 12 | 0.77 | 0.36 | 1297 | 1606 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RW | 27 | 1804 | 59% | 9 | 9 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 1319 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | LW | 5 | 98 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.40 | 1514 | 1588 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | LM | 34 | 2111 | 62% | 1 | 8 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 1572 | 1606 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LM | 35 | 2839 | 83% | 8 | 7 | 0.48 | 0.26 | 1469 | 1731 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LM | 32 | 1802 | 53% | 4 | 5 | 0.45 | 0.22 | 1442 | 1748 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | LW | 22 | 1203 | 39% | 4 | 6 | 0.75 | 0.31 | 1515 | 1892 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LW | 34 | 2706 | 79% | 8 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 1467 | 1565 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LW | 37 | 3317 | 97% | 11 | 11 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 1474 | 1565 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LW | 36 | 2757 | 81% | 11 | 9 | 0.65 | 0.45 | 1471 | 1528 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Inter Milan | Serie A | LW | 34 | 2408 | 70% | 7 | 5 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 1488 | 1540 | 0.95 |
| 2015/16 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 2 | 164 | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.29 | 1483 | 1575 | 1.02 |
| 2014/15 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 24 | 1726 | 56% | 5 | 6 | 0.57 | 0.39 | 1520 | 1666 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LW | 33 | 2199 | 72% | 10 | 5 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 1560 | 1580 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LW | 11 | 540 | 18% | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1466 | 1534 | 1.11 |
| 2012/13 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | LW | 14 | 506 | 17% | 2 | 1 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 1415 | 1746 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 537 | 1 | 2 | 1663 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Croatia | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 214 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1297 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 333 | 3 | 0 | 1741 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 310 | 4 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1235 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 574 | 0 | 3 | 1626 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 8 | 531 | 0 | 1 | 1726 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 5 | 427 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Supercoppa Italiana | Inter Milan | 1 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 1706 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 6 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 1701 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 4 | 243 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 10 | 423 | 3 | 3 | 1663 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 3 | 131 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 6 | 501 | 0 | 0 | 1757 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Inter Milan | 4 | 328 | 1 | 1 | 1554 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 1 | 67 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Inter Milan | 5 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1566 |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 3 | 211 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1793 |
| 2015/16 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 512 | 1 | 2 | 1563 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 143 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 390 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 185 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 1613 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dries Mertens Super Lig · 2024 | 37 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Edin Dzeko Super Lig · 2024 | 38 | €2.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Youssef El Arabi Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €1.5M | €300k | fell |
| Ricardo Quaresma Super Lig · 2019 | 36 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Ángel Di María Liga Portugal · 2024 | 36 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Luuk de Jong Eredivisie · 2024 | 34 | €3.5M | €500k | fell |
| Oleksandr Gladkyi Premier Liga · 2022 | 35 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Eran Zahavi Eredivisie · 2022 | 35 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2024 | Without Club | PSV | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Hajduk Split | Without Club | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 4 Jul 2024 | Tottenham | Hajduk Split | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Hajduk Split | Tottenham | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Tottenham | Hajduk Split | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Inter | Tottenham | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Bayern Munich | Inter | Free / loan | €17.5M |
| 13 Aug 2019 | Inter | Bayern Munich | Free / loan | €30.0M |
| 30 Aug 2015 | Wolfsburg | Inter | €19.0M | €13.0M |
| 6 Jan 2013 | Dortmund | Wolfsburg | €8.0M | €7.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Club Brugge | Dortmund | €4.0M | €6.0M |
| 26 Aug 2009 | FC Sochaux | Club Brugge | €200k | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2009 | KSV Roeselare | FC Sochaux | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2009 | FC Sochaux | KSV Roeselare | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | €325k |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Hajduk U17 | FC Sochaux B | €360k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Hajduk Yth. | Hajduk U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.