Anfernee Dijksteel

29 yrs · Centre-back · Suriname
Kocaelispor · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€285k – €836k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€353k – €717k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€450k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€483k – €432k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€285k – €836k
Model value (performance-implied)€353k – €717k
Projected value (24 months)€450k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anfernee Dijksteel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 73

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average6.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €380k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2687 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.02
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
7 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1188
Opponent strength
1274
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€450k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -41% to -8%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
50 (DEF)
Relative output kept
68%–191%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
54%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26KocaelisporSuper LigCB32268788%000.000.02127411880.40

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Praxitelis Vouros
Super League 1 · 2024
29€600k€600kflat
Alin Toșca
Super Lig · 2022
30€1.8M€700kfell
Jordens Peters
Eredivisie · 2017
30€1.3M€750kfell
Marcus Fraser
Scottish Premiership · 2023
29€450k€400kflat
Damian van Bruggen
Eredivisie · 2024
28€650k€500kfell
Javi Martos
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
30€800k€650kflat
Sébastien Dewaest
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
31€700k€400kfell
Dirk Marcellis
Eredivisie · 2017
29€900k€1.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
25 Jul 2025MiddlesbroughKocaelisporFree / loan€1.2M
7 Aug 2019CharltonMiddlesbrough€2.2MData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Charlton U23CharltonUnknownData unavailable
26 Jan 2016Nike AcademyCharlton U21Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015AFC A'dam U19Nike AcademyFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Diemen YouthAFC A'dam U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Argon Yth.Diemen YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Excelsior JeugdArgon Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.