
Anfernee Dijksteel
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anfernee Dijksteel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €380k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2687 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1188
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €450k – €1.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -41% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kocaelispor | Super Lig | CB | 32 | 2687 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1274 | 1188 | 0.40 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Praxitelis Vouros Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Alin Toșca Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Jordens Peters Eredivisie · 2017 | 30 | €1.3M | €750k | fell |
| Marcus Fraser Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 29 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Damian van Bruggen Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Javi Martos Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 30 | €800k | €650k | flat |
| Sébastien Dewaest Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 31 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Dirk Marcellis Eredivisie · 2017 | 29 | €900k | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | Middlesbrough | Kocaelispor | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 7 Aug 2019 | Charlton | Middlesbrough | €2.2M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Charlton U23 | Charlton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 26 Jan 2016 | Nike Academy | Charlton U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AFC A'dam U19 | Nike Academy | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Diemen Youth | AFC A'dam U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Argon Yth. | Diemen Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Excelsior Jeugd | Argon Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.