Andreas Skov Olsen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andreas Skov Olsen's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-10.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-6.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (790 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 59.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €4.5M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -47% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 790 (26% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.57
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1228
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; team strength down (-114 Elo); league level down (-73 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -59% to -39%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 790 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | RW | 8 | 429 | 14% | 1 | 3 | 0.84 | 0.46 | 1228 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 8 | 361 | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 1436 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 19 | 1143 | 42% | 8 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.60 | 1381 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2024/25 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 12 | 532 | 17% | 1 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1461 | 1438 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 28 | 2137 | 79% | 10 | 4 | 0.59 | 0.39 | 1382 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 21 | 1397 | 46% | 7 | 5 | 0.77 | 0.39 | 1292 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 9 | 742 | 24% | 5 | 6 | 1.33 | 0.55 | 1307 | 1512 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | RW | 18 | 740 | 22% | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 1502 | 1395 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | RW | 26 | 1179 | 34% | 2 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 1454 | 1380 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | RW | 26 | 748 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 1442 | 1365 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 26 | 2177 | 93% | 19 | 3 | 0.91 | 0.61 | 1307 | 1323 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1301 | 1377 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 2 | 137 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 104 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 367 | 0 | 0 | 1619 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 394 | 3 | 0 | 1393 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 298 | 1 | 1 | 1643 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1420 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 429 | 3 | 1 | 1394 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 162 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 145 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Makarov Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Adnan Januzaj Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Mehdi Carcela-González Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 29 | €3.5M | €2.4M | fell |
| Tabaré Viúdez Super Lig · 2015 | 26 | €4.3M | €2.3M | fell |
| Nikolaos Karelis Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Éder Liga Portugal · 2014 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Viktor Fischer Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Víctor Dávila Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Rangers | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | Rangers | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Club Brugge | Wolfsburg | €14.0M | €16.0M |
| 28 Jan 2022 | Bologna | Club Brugge | €6.4M | €6.5M |
| 24 Jul 2019 | Nordsjaelland | Bologna | €6.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Nordsjaell. U19 | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FCN Youth | Nordsjaell. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.